St. Bernard Parish, Louisiana
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 55.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 13.9% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 23.8% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.8% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 33.0% | 74.4% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 5.7% | 12.9% |
| Black Protestant | 3.6% | 8.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.5% |
| Other | 1.1% | 2.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 0.9% | 2.0% |
| Non-religious | 55.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+29.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+28.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+33.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+24.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+45.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+32.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+16.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+2.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+11.6 |
St. Bernard, Louisiana is a county that has a population of 44,419. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+29.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34.5% | 63.8% | R+29.3 | R+0.8 |
| 2020 | 34.8% | 63.3% | R+28.5 | D+4.9 |
| 2016 | 31.4% | 64.7% | R+33.4 | R+8.7 |
| 2012 | 36.3% | 60.9% | R+24.7 | D+20.8 |
| 2008 | 25.8% | 71.2% | R+45.4 | R+13.1 |
| 2004 | 33.4% | 65.7% | R+32.3 | R+16.3 |
| 2000 | 40.8% | 56.8% | R+16.0 | R+18.4 |
| 1996 | 46.3% | 43.9% | D+2.5 | D+14.1 |
| 1992 | 37.4% | 49.0% | R+11.6 | D+14.2 |
| 1988 | 35.9% | 61.8% | R+25.9 | D+24.2 |
| 1984 | 24.7% | 74.8% | R+50.1 | R+25.0 |
| 1980 | 35.4% | 60.5% | R+25.1 | R+26.1 |
| 1976 | 48.9% | 47.9% | D+1.0 | D+62.4 |
| 1972 | 16.3% | 77.7% | R+61.4 | R+56.1 |
| 1968 | 13.1% | 18.3% | R+5.3 | D+8.0 |
| 1964 | 43.4% | 56.6% | R+13.2 | R+42.7 |
| 1960 | 42.6% | 13.1% | D+29.5 | D+34.5 |
| 1956 | 45.5% | 50.5% | R+5.1 | R+1.6 |
| 1952 | 48.3% | 51.7% | R+3.4 | R+2.8 |
| 1948 | 3.7% | 4.4% | R+0.7 | — |
What defines St. Bernard?
It has a working-class electorate (18% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 29.3% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 20.8 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate