Frederick County, Maryland
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 65.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 12.9% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 10.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 5.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 13.2% | 36.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 9.7% | 26.5% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 8.1% | 22.1% |
| Other | 4.8% | 13.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.4% | 3.8% |
| Black Protestant | 0.7% | 2.0% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 63.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+8.8 |
| 2020 | Biden+9.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+2.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+3.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+1.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+20.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+18.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+14.4 |
| 1992 | Bush+14.6 |
Frederick, Maryland is a county that has a population of 287,048. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+8.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52.8% | 44.0% | D+8.8 | R+0.9 |
| 2020 | 53.3% | 43.7% | D+9.6 | D+12.0 |
| 2016 | 45.9% | 48.3% | R+2.4 | D+0.7 |
| 2012 | 47.1% | 50.2% | R+3.1 | R+2.1 |
| 2008 | 48.6% | 49.6% | R+1.0 | D+19.3 |
| 2004 | 39.3% | 59.6% | R+20.3 | R+1.7 |
| 2000 | 39.1% | 57.7% | R+18.6 | R+4.2 |
| 1996 | 38.4% | 52.8% | R+14.4 | D+0.2 |
| 1992 | 33.8% | 48.4% | R+14.6 | D+16.5 |
| 1988 | 34.2% | 65.3% | R+31.1 | D+6.5 |
| 1984 | 31.1% | 68.7% | R+37.6 | R+16.1 |
| 1980 | 34.8% | 56.3% | R+21.5 | R+11.0 |
| 1976 | 44.8% | 55.2% | R+10.5 | D+30.3 |
| 1972 | 28.7% | 69.5% | R+40.7 | R+20.5 |
| 1968 | 31.6% | 51.9% | R+20.3 | R+42.5 |
| 1964 | 61.1% | 38.9% | D+22.2 | D+37.2 |
| 1960 | 42.5% | 57.5% | R+15.0 | D+15.8 |
| 1956 | 34.6% | 65.4% | R+30.8 | R+0.9 |
| 1952 | 35.0% | 64.9% | R+29.9 | R+13.7 |
| 1948 | 41.5% | 57.8% | R+16.2 | — |
What defines Frederick?
Frederick has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (2D, 4R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
County in State Context
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2008 election was decided by just 1.0 points — razor-thin
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Senate
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2016