Berrien County, Michigan
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 72.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 6.3% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 13.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 20.6% | 47.2% |
| Catholic | 11.2% | 25.7% |
| Black Protestant | 5.8% | 13.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.9% | 8.9% |
| Other | 2.1% | 4.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.7% |
| Non-religious | 56.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+7.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+7.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+12.7 |
| 2012 | Romney+6.5 |
| 2008 | Obama+5.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+11.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+11.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+6.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+4.9 |
Berrien, Michigan is a county that has a population of 153,288. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+7.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45.4% | 53.2% | R+7.9 | R+0.5 |
| 2020 | 45.4% | 52.8% | R+7.4 | D+5.3 |
| 2016 | 40.9% | 53.7% | R+12.7 | R+6.2 |
| 2012 | 46.0% | 52.5% | R+6.5 | R+12.0 |
| 2008 | 51.9% | 46.4% | D+5.5 | D+16.5 |
| 2004 | 44.0% | 55.0% | R+11.0 | D+0.5 |
| 2000 | 43.2% | 54.7% | R+11.6 | R+5.4 |
| 1996 | 41.5% | 47.6% | R+6.1 | R+1.2 |
| 1992 | 37.1% | 42.0% | R+4.9 | D+21.4 |
| 1988 | 36.5% | 62.8% | R+26.3 | D+7.5 |
| 1984 | 32.7% | 66.6% | R+33.8 | R+5.4 |
| 1980 | 32.6% | 61.0% | R+28.4 | R+4.9 |
| 1976 | 37.7% | 61.1% | R+23.5 | D+15.3 |
| 1972 | 29.5% | 68.3% | R+38.8 | R+21.5 |
| 1968 | 33.8% | 51.1% | R+17.3 | R+29.4 |
| 1964 | 55.9% | 43.9% | D+12.1 | D+34.2 |
| 1960 | 38.8% | 60.8% | R+22.1 | D+9.3 |
| 1956 | 34.1% | 65.5% | R+31.4 | R+4.9 |
| 1952 | 36.5% | 62.9% | R+26.5 | R+6.4 |
| 1948 | 38.9% | 58.9% | R+20.0 | — |
What defines Berrien?
Berrien has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (1D, 5R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
County in State Context
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024
- Has changed party control 8 times across its presidential election history