Dakota County, Minnesota
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 72.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 8.7% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 7.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 5.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 23.6% | 44.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 14.2% | 27.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 9.8% | 18.7% |
| Other | 4.6% | 8.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.3% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 47.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+12.8 |
| 2020 | Biden+13.9 |
| 2016 | Clinton+4.6 |
| 2012 | Obama+2.9 |
| 2008 | Obama+5.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+2.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+1.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+13.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+7.2 |
Dakota, Minnesota is a county that has a population of 445,771. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+12.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55.1% | 42.3% | D+12.8 | R+1.1 |
| 2020 | 55.7% | 41.8% | D+13.9 | D+9.3 |
| 2016 | 47.7% | 43.1% | D+4.6 | D+1.7 |
| 2012 | 50.4% | 47.4% | D+2.9 | R+2.6 |
| 2008 | 51.8% | 46.3% | D+5.5 | D+7.5 |
| 2004 | 48.5% | 50.5% | R+2.0 | R+1.0 |
| 2000 | 46.9% | 47.9% | R+1.0 | R+14.0 |
| 1996 | 50.1% | 37.1% | D+13.0 | D+5.8 |
| 1992 | 40.5% | 33.3% | D+7.2 | D+6.9 |
| 1988 | 49.7% | 49.5% | D+0.3 | D+6.0 |
| 1984 | 46.8% | 52.5% | R+5.7 | R+8.6 |
| 1980 | 45.8% | 43.0% | D+2.9 | R+5.1 |
| 1976 | 52.6% | 44.7% | D+8.0 | D+18.0 |
| 1972 | 44.0% | 54.0% | R+10.0 | R+28.3 |
| 1968 | 56.9% | 38.7% | D+18.3 | R+16.1 |
| 1964 | 67.1% | 32.7% | D+34.3 | D+19.8 |
| 1960 | 57.1% | 42.6% | D+14.5 | D+16.2 |
| 1956 | 49.0% | 50.7% | R+1.7 | R+1.8 |
| 1952 | 49.8% | 49.7% | D+0.1 | R+28.8 |
| 1948 | 63.6% | 34.8% | D+28.9 | — |
What defines Dakota?
Dakota has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2004
- College attainment is 45% — 12pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally