Bolivar County, Mississippi
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 7.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 31.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 2.7% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 63.2% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 31.9% | 59.9% |
| Black Protestant | 11.7% | 22.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.8% | 9.1% |
| Catholic | 3.5% | 6.5% |
| Other | 1.4% | 2.6% |
| Non-religious | 46.7% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+23.7 |
| 2020 | Biden+30.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton+32.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+38.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+35.4 |
| 2004 | Kerry+26.8 |
| 2000 | Gore+26.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+35.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+28.5 |
Bolivar, Mississippi is a county that has a population of 29,534. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+23.7. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61.5% | 37.8% | D+23.7 | R+7.0 |
| 2020 | 64.7% | 34.0% | D+30.8 | R+1.5 |
| 2016 | 65.4% | 33.2% | D+32.2 | R+5.9 |
| 2012 | 68.6% | 30.5% | D+38.1 | D+2.7 |
| 2008 | 67.2% | 31.8% | D+35.4 | D+8.6 |
| 2004 | 62.9% | 36.2% | D+26.8 | D+0.3 |
| 2000 | 62.3% | 35.8% | D+26.5 | R+8.7 |
| 1996 | 65.8% | 30.6% | D+35.2 | D+6.8 |
| 1992 | 61.9% | 33.4% | D+28.5 | D+17.8 |
| 1988 | 54.0% | 43.3% | D+10.7 | R+0.9 |
| 1984 | 55.4% | 43.9% | D+11.6 | R+13.9 |
| 1980 | 61.0% | 35.5% | D+25.5 | D+6.6 |
| 1976 | 58.7% | 39.9% | D+18.8 | D+52.6 |
| 1972 | 32.3% | 66.1% | R+33.8 | R+59.1 |
| 1968 | 40.8% | 15.6% | D+25.3 | D+98.2 |
| 1964 | 13.5% | 86.5% | R+73.0 | R+75.8 |
| 1960 | 29.7% | 26.9% | D+2.8 | R+9.2 |
| 1956 | 33.5% | 21.5% | D+12.0 | D+18.4 |
| 1952 | 46.8% | 53.2% | R+6.4 | R+10.0 |
| 1948 | 7.5% | 3.9% | D+3.6 | — |
What defines Bolivar?
Bolivar has been trending Republican — 14pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
County in State Context
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 23.7% margin
- Shifted 14.4 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections