Carroll County, Mississippi
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(8) | 62.5% |
Hispanic / Latino | <0.1% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 34.4% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.8% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 39.3% | 67.7% |
| Black Protestant | 9.6% | 16.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 9.1% | 15.7% |
| Non-religious | 42.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+44.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+38.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+38.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+32.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+31.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+31.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+29.2 |
| 1996 | Dole+11.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+16.6 |
Carroll, Mississippi is a county that has a population of 9,686. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+44.3. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27.6% | 71.8% | R+44.3 | R+5.8 |
| 2020 | 30.3% | 68.8% | R+38.5 | R+0.1 |
| 2016 | 30.4% | 68.7% | R+38.3 | R+5.7 |
| 2012 | 33.5% | 66.1% | R+32.6 | R+1.3 |
| 2008 | 34.1% | 65.4% | R+31.3 | D+0.3 |
| 2004 | 34.0% | 65.5% | R+31.6 | R+2.3 |
| 2000 | 35.1% | 64.3% | R+29.2 | R+17.3 |
| 1996 | 41.4% | 53.3% | R+11.9 | D+4.7 |
| 1992 | 38.3% | 55.0% | R+16.6 | D+8.8 |
| 1988 | 37.1% | 62.5% | R+25.4 | D+6.3 |
| 1984 | 34.0% | 65.7% | R+31.7 | R+28.9 |
| 1980 | 48.2% | 50.9% | R+2.7 | R+2.9 |
| 1976 | 49.4% | 49.3% | D+0.2 | D+49.5 |
| 1972 | 23.9% | 73.3% | R+49.4 | R+74.0 |
| 1968 | 29.0% | 4.3% | D+24.6 | D+115.5 |
| 1964 | 4.6% | 95.4% | R+90.8 | R+105.7 |
| 1960 | 28.9% | 14.1% | D+14.8 | R+39.7 |
| 1956 | 69.6% | 15.1% | D+54.5 | D+17.4 |
| 1952 | 68.6% | 31.4% | D+37.2 | D+32.3 |
| 1948 | 6.0% | 1.1% | D+4.9 | — |
What defines Carroll?
It has a working-class electorate (21% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 44.3% margin
- Shifted 11.7 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections