Newton County, Mississippi
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 59.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 1.9% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 31.6% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 3.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 45.5% | 85.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.8% | 9.1% |
| Black Protestant | 1.5% | 2.8% |
| Other | 0.7% | 1.3% |
| Catholic | 0.5% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 47.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+43.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+38.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+40.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+31.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+34.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+45.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+43.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+29.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+38.2 |
Newton, Mississippi is a county that has a population of 21,093. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+43.3. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27.9% | 71.2% | R+43.3 | R+4.8 |
| 2020 | 30.2% | 68.7% | R+38.5 | D+1.7 |
| 2016 | 29.2% | 69.4% | R+40.2 | R+8.7 |
| 2012 | 33.9% | 65.4% | R+31.4 | D+2.7 |
| 2008 | 32.7% | 66.8% | R+34.1 | D+11.7 |
| 2004 | 26.9% | 72.6% | R+45.8 | R+1.9 |
| 2000 | 27.7% | 71.6% | R+43.9 | R+14.0 |
| 1996 | 31.4% | 61.3% | R+29.9 | D+8.3 |
| 1992 | 27.5% | 65.7% | R+38.2 | D+3.4 |
| 1988 | 29.1% | 70.7% | R+41.6 | D+5.3 |
| 1984 | 26.4% | 73.2% | R+46.9 | R+36.0 |
| 1980 | 43.5% | 54.4% | R+10.9 | D+5.2 |
| 1976 | 41.0% | 57.0% | R+16.0 | D+62.6 |
| 1972 | 9.4% | 88.0% | R+78.6 | R+82.4 |
| 1968 | 11.6% | 7.9% | D+3.7 | D+94.2 |
| 1964 | 4.8% | 95.2% | R+90.4 | R+102.4 |
| 1960 | 27.0% | 15.0% | D+12.0 | R+52.0 |
| 1956 | 75.5% | 11.5% | D+64.0 | D+15.4 |
| 1952 | 74.3% | 25.7% | D+48.6 | D+43.7 |
| 1948 | 6.4% | 1.5% | D+4.9 | — |
What defines Newton?
It has a working-class electorate (19% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 43.3% margin
- College attainment is 19% — 14pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally