Tunica County, Mississippi
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 7.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(9) | 18.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(2) | 1.8% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 79.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 12.7% | 54.9% |
| Black Protestant | 5.9% | 25.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.3% | 14.4% |
| Catholic | 1.1% | 4.9% |
| Non-religious | 77.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+38.9 |
| 2020 | Biden+46.4 |
| 2016 | Clinton+50.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+59.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+52.2 |
| 2004 | Kerry+38.0 |
| 2000 | Gore+31.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+37.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+33.8 |
Tunica, Mississippi is a county that has a population of 9,475. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+38.9. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 68.9% | 29.9% | D+38.9 | R+7.5 |
| 2020 | 72.4% | 26.0% | D+46.4 | R+4.5 |
| 2016 | 74.8% | 23.9% | D+50.9 | R+8.3 |
| 2012 | 79.3% | 20.2% | D+59.1 | D+6.9 |
| 2008 | 75.7% | 23.5% | D+52.2 | D+14.2 |
| 2004 | 68.4% | 30.4% | D+38.0 | D+6.5 |
| 2000 | 65.0% | 33.5% | D+31.6 | R+5.9 |
| 1996 | 67.0% | 29.5% | D+37.4 | D+3.6 |
| 1992 | 64.7% | 30.9% | D+33.8 | D+8.5 |
| 1988 | 62.1% | 36.9% | D+25.3 | D+7.0 |
| 1984 | 57.8% | 39.6% | D+18.3 | R+20.6 |
| 1980 | 68.6% | 29.8% | D+38.8 | D+11.8 |
| 1976 | 61.5% | 34.5% | D+27.0 | D+52.3 |
| 1972 | 36.9% | 62.2% | R+25.3 | R+56.2 |
| 1968 | 48.6% | 17.7% | D+30.9 | D+111.9 |
| 1964 | 9.5% | 90.5% | R+81.0 | R+79.8 |
| 1960 | 36.0% | 37.2% | R+1.2 | R+33.5 |
| 1956 | 56.2% | 23.9% | D+32.3 | D+16.2 |
| 1952 | 58.1% | 41.9% | D+16.1 | D+14.6 |
| 1948 | 3.1% | 1.6% | D+1.5 | — |
What defines Tunica?
Tunica has been trending Republican — 20pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 38.9% margin
- Shifted 20.2 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections