
Safe Republican — shifted 5.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(10) | 76.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 4.9% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 13.6% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 66.3% | 80.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 11.0% | 13.3% |
| Catholic | 2.5% | 3.0% |
| Black Protestant | 2.3% | 2.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| Other | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 17.1% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+70.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+64.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+62.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+50.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+49.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+46.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+32.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+12.4 |
| 1992 | Bush+15.0 |
Union, Mississippi is a county that has a population of 28,122. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+70.1. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14.5% | 84.6% | R+70.1 | R+5.4 |
| 2020 | 17.0% | 81.8% | R+64.8 | R+1.9 |
| 2016 | 17.5% | 80.3% | R+62.8 | R+12.2 |
| 2012 | 24.1% | 74.8% | R+50.6 | R+0.7 |
| 2008 | 24.5% | 74.4% | R+49.9 | R+3.1 |
| 2004 | 26.2% | 73.1% | R+46.8 | R+14.7 |
| 2000 | 33.2% | 65.4% | R+32.1 | R+19.8 |
| 1996 | 38.8% | 51.1% | R+12.4 | D+2.6 |
| 1992 | 38.1% | 53.1% | R+15.0 | D+13.7 |
| 1988 | 35.4% | 64.1% | R+28.7 | D+6.9 |
| 1984 | 32.1% | 67.7% | R+35.6 | R+52.4 |
| 1980 | 57.4% | 40.7% | D+16.7 | R+16.1 |
| 1976 | 65.6% | 32.7% | D+32.8 | D+110.2 |
| 1972 | 10.6% | 87.9% | R+77.3 | R+72.6 |
| 1968 | 9.2% | 14.0% | R+4.8 | D+36.0 |
| 1964 | 29.6% | 70.4% | R+40.8 | R+83.1 |
| 1960 | 60.7% | 18.4% | D+42.4 | R+27.9 |
| 1956 | 82.5% | 12.2% | D+70.3 | D+20.3 |
| 1952 | 75.0% | 25.0% | D+50.0 | D+28.8 |
| 1948 | 24.3% | 3.2% | D+21.1 | — |
Union has been trending Republican — 19pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.