Valley County, Montana
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 33 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 84.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 2.6% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 0.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 8.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Mainline Protestant | 11.2% | 39.7% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 6.6% | 23.6% |
| Catholic | 6.4% | 22.8% |
| Other | 3.9% | 13.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.8% | 9.8% |
| Non-religious | 71.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+51.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+49.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+46.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+24.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+12.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+26.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+31.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+3.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+4.8 |
Valley, Montana is a county that has a population of 7,519. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+51.1. Akashic Edge tracks 33 presidential elections here, dating back to 1896.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22.9% | 74.0% | R+51.1 | R+1.8 |
| 2020 | 24.1% | 73.4% | R+49.3 | R+2.7 |
| 2016 | 22.8% | 69.3% | R+46.5 | R+21.9 |
| 2012 | 35.9% | 60.6% | R+24.7 | R+12.5 |
| 2008 | 42.1% | 54.2% | R+12.2 | D+13.8 |
| 2004 | 35.6% | 61.6% | R+26.0 | D+4.9 |
| 2000 | 32.1% | 63.1% | R+31.0 | R+27.1 |
| 1996 | 39.8% | 43.7% | R+3.9 | R+8.7 |
| 1992 | 37.5% | 32.8% | D+4.8 | D+11.2 |
| 1988 | 46.0% | 52.4% | R+6.5 | D+18.8 |
| 1984 | 36.6% | 61.9% | R+25.3 | D+7.0 |
| 1980 | 30.2% | 62.5% | R+32.3 | R+28.9 |
| 1976 | 47.4% | 50.8% | R+3.4 | D+19.7 |
| 1972 | 36.9% | 60.0% | R+23.1 | R+15.3 |
| 1968 | 41.6% | 49.4% | R+7.9 | R+26.5 |
| 1964 | 59.2% | 40.5% | D+18.6 | D+8.0 |
| 1960 | 55.2% | 44.7% | D+10.6 | D+7.4 |
| 1956 | 51.6% | 48.4% | D+3.2 | D+10.3 |
| 1952 | 46.1% | 53.3% | R+7.2 | R+35.4 |
| 1948 | 61.7% | 33.5% | D+28.2 | — |
What defines Valley?
Valley has been trending Republican — 26pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 51.1% margin
- Shifted 26.4 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections