
Safe Republican — 39 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
31K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+41.6
TURNOUT
64.1%
#79 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$68K
COLLEGE+
30%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 82% non-Hispanic white (+25pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 88.5pp ahead of Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Evangelical edge: 16pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.