Pawnee County, Nebraska
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 93.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(1) | 1.9% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 18.4% | 43.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 17.5% | 41.2% |
| Catholic | 6.5% | 15.3% |
| Non-religious | 57.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+58.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+52.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+52.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+37.2 |
| 2008 | McCain+27.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+34.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+27.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+11.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+5.8 |
Pawnee, Nebraska is a county that has a population of 2,530. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+58.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20.6% | 78.7% | R+58.1 | R+5.7 |
| 2020 | 22.5% | 74.9% | R+52.4 | 0.0 |
| 2016 | 21.0% | 73.4% | R+52.4 | R+15.2 |
| 2012 | 29.8% | 67.0% | R+37.2 | R+10.0 |
| 2008 | 34.9% | 62.1% | R+27.2 | D+6.9 |
| 2004 | 32.4% | 66.5% | R+34.0 | R+6.7 |
| 2000 | 34.4% | 61.7% | R+27.3 | R+15.5 |
| 1996 | 37.0% | 48.8% | R+11.8 | R+6.1 |
| 1992 | 31.3% | 37.1% | R+5.8 | D+6.1 |
| 1988 | 43.6% | 55.5% | R+11.8 | D+28.2 |
| 1984 | 29.3% | 69.3% | R+40.0 | D+9.5 |
| 1980 | 21.6% | 71.1% | R+49.5 | R+41.8 |
| 1976 | 45.1% | 52.9% | R+7.7 | D+34.8 |
| 1972 | 28.7% | 71.3% | R+42.5 | R+11.3 |
| 1968 | 29.1% | 60.3% | R+31.2 | R+28.8 |
| 1964 | 48.8% | 51.2% | R+2.4 | D+23.9 |
| 1960 | 36.9% | 63.1% | R+26.3 | D+2.1 |
| 1956 | 35.8% | 64.2% | R+28.3 | D+21.7 |
| 1952 | 25.0% | 75.0% | R+50.0 | R+34.9 |
| 1948 | 42.4% | 57.6% | R+15.2 | — |
What defines Pawnee?
It has a working-class electorate (21% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 58.1% margin
- Shifted 20.9 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections