Carroll County, New Hampshire
Latest: 2024
Competitive — shifted 3.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 94.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 1.8% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 0.6% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.4% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 9.5% | 51.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.0% | 27.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 2.3% | 12.3% |
| Other | 1.8% | 9.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 1.9% |
| Non-religious | 81.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+1.7 |
| 2020 | Biden+1.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+5.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+0.8 |
| 2008 | Obama+6.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+4.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+11.5 |
| 1996 | Dole+1.4 |
| 1992 | Bush+6.7 |
Carroll, New Hampshire is a county that has a population of 51,804. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+1.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48.5% | 50.3% | R+1.7 | R+3.2 |
| 2020 | 50.0% | 48.5% | D+1.5 | D+7.1 |
| 2016 | 43.9% | 49.4% | R+5.6 | R+4.8 |
| 2012 | 48.9% | 49.7% | R+0.8 | R+7.1 |
| 2008 | 52.4% | 46.1% | D+6.3 | D+10.9 |
| 2004 | 47.2% | 51.8% | R+4.6 | D+6.9 |
| 2000 | 41.3% | 52.8% | R+11.5 | R+10.1 |
| 1996 | 42.8% | 44.2% | R+1.4 | D+5.3 |
| 1992 | 33.4% | 40.2% | R+6.7 | D+36.0 |
| 1988 | 28.1% | 70.8% | R+42.7 | D+8.6 |
| 1984 | 24.1% | 75.4% | R+51.3 | R+5.1 |
| 1980 | 21.0% | 67.2% | R+46.2 | R+3.7 |
| 1976 | 27.7% | 70.2% | R+42.5 | D+12.8 |
| 1972 | 21.6% | 77.0% | R+55.4 | R+5.6 |
| 1968 | 23.2% | 72.9% | R+49.7 | R+39.8 |
| 1964 | 45.0% | 55.0% | R+10.0 | D+49.2 |
| 1960 | 20.4% | 79.6% | R+59.2 | D+11.6 |
| 1956 | 14.5% | 85.4% | R+70.8 | R+5.6 |
| 1952 | 17.4% | 82.6% | R+65.2 | R+12.3 |
| 1948 | 23.2% | 76.1% | R+52.9 | — |
What defines Carroll?
Carroll has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground.
County in State Context
Current New Hampshire Polling
Contextual statewide polling for New Hampshire. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 New Hampshire Senate General Election
Chris Pappas leads at 45.6%
2 pollsSparse
Field Preview
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2012 election was decided by just 0.8 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Turnout increased by 3.2 percentage points since the previous presidential election