Grafton County, New Hampshire
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 4.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 2.9% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 1.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 13.4% | 50.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.3% | 27.2% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 3.6% | 13.5% |
| Other | 2.5% | 9.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 4.9% |
| Non-religious | 73.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+19.8 |
| 2020 | Biden+24.6 |
| 2016 | Clinton+18.6 |
| 2012 | Obama+23.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+27.6 |
| 2004 | Kerry+12.6 |
| 2000 | Gore+0.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+11.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+5.3 |
Grafton, New Hampshire is a county that has a population of 92,120. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+19.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 59.0% | 39.2% | D+19.8 | R+4.8 |
| 2020 | 61.5% | 36.9% | D+24.6 | D+6.0 |
| 2016 | 55.7% | 37.1% | D+18.6 | R+5.1 |
| 2012 | 60.9% | 37.1% | D+23.7 | R+3.9 |
| 2008 | 63.0% | 35.5% | D+27.6 | D+15.0 |
| 2004 | 55.7% | 43.2% | D+12.6 | D+12.0 |
| 2000 | 47.3% | 46.7% | D+0.6 | R+10.7 |
| 1996 | 50.3% | 38.9% | D+11.3 | D+6.0 |
| 1992 | 42.3% | 37.0% | D+5.3 | D+29.9 |
| 1988 | 37.4% | 62.0% | R+24.6 | D+10.9 |
| 1984 | 32.1% | 67.6% | R+35.5 | R+6.1 |
| 1980 | 26.8% | 56.3% | R+29.4 | R+6.7 |
| 1976 | 37.6% | 60.3% | R+22.7 | D+9.7 |
| 1972 | 33.1% | 65.6% | R+32.5 | R+8.9 |
| 1968 | 36.2% | 59.8% | R+23.5 | R+43.0 |
| 1964 | 59.8% | 40.2% | D+19.5 | D+49.3 |
| 1960 | 35.1% | 64.9% | R+29.8 | D+18.3 |
| 1956 | 25.9% | 74.0% | R+48.1 | R+3.6 |
| 1952 | 27.8% | 72.2% | R+44.5 | R+16.4 |
| 1948 | 35.5% | 63.5% | R+28.0 | — |
What defines Grafton?
It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
County in State Context
Current New Hampshire Polling
Contextual statewide polling for New Hampshire. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 New Hampshire Senate General Election
Chris Pappas leads at 45.6%
2 pollsSparse
Field Preview
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- College attainment is 47% — 14pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
- Swung 4.8 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024