Niagara County, New York
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — shifted 5.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 82.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 6.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 1.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 29.1% | 60.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 9.1% | 18.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.4% | 11.2% |
| Other | 3.7% | 7.5% |
| Black Protestant | 0.8% | 1.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.4% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 51.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+14.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+9.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+17.8 |
| 2012 | Obama+0.8 |
| 2008 | Obama+1.0 |
| 2004 | Kerry+0.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+7.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+14.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+5.4 |
Niagara, New York is a county that has a population of 210,721. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+14.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42.4% | 57.3% | R+14.9 | R+5.2 |
| 2020 | 44.2% | 53.9% | R+9.7 | D+8.1 |
| 2016 | 38.5% | 56.2% | R+17.8 | R+18.6 |
| 2012 | 49.4% | 48.6% | D+0.8 | R+0.2 |
| 2008 | 49.7% | 48.6% | D+1.0 | D+0.5 |
| 2004 | 49.3% | 48.8% | D+0.5 | R+6.8 |
| 2000 | 51.2% | 43.9% | D+7.3 | R+6.9 |
| 1996 | 49.4% | 35.1% | D+14.3 | D+8.8 |
| 1992 | 36.9% | 31.5% | D+5.4 | D+4.0 |
| 1988 | 50.4% | 49.0% | D+1.5 | D+12.1 |
| 1984 | 44.5% | 55.2% | R+10.7 | R+12.6 |
| 1980 | 46.8% | 44.9% | D+1.9 | D+4.6 |
| 1976 | 48.4% | 51.1% | R+2.7 | D+14.1 |
| 1972 | 41.4% | 58.2% | R+16.8 | R+19.2 |
| 1968 | 46.5% | 44.1% | D+2.4 | R+37.8 |
| 1964 | 70.1% | 29.9% | D+40.2 | D+38.6 |
| 1960 | 50.8% | 49.1% | D+1.6 | D+36.5 |
| 1956 | 32.6% | 67.4% | R+34.9 | R+12.9 |
| 1952 | 38.0% | 59.9% | R+21.9 | R+18.6 |
| 1948 | 46.3% | 49.7% | R+3.4 | — |
What defines Niagara?
Niagara has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (3D, 3R) — a genuine swing geography.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2012 election was decided by just 0.8 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Swung 5.2 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024