St. Lawrence County, New York
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 6.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 91.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 2.5% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 2.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 22.4% | 56.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 8.7% | 22.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.0% | 12.7% |
| Other | 3.2% | 8.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 4.0% |
| Non-religious | 60.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+18.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+11.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+8.8 |
| 2012 | Obama+16.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+16.3 |
| 2004 | Kerry+11.6 |
| 2000 | Gore+12.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+28.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+10.2 |
St. Lawrence, New York is a county that has a population of 107,226. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+18.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40.9% | 58.9% | R+18.0 | R+6.3 |
| 2020 | 43.1% | 54.8% | R+11.7 | R+2.9 |
| 2016 | 42.1% | 50.9% | R+8.8 | R+25.5 |
| 2012 | 57.4% | 40.7% | D+16.7 | D+0.4 |
| 2008 | 57.4% | 41.0% | D+16.3 | D+4.8 |
| 2004 | 54.7% | 43.2% | D+11.6 | R+0.8 |
| 2000 | 53.8% | 41.3% | D+12.4 | R+16.1 |
| 1996 | 56.7% | 28.1% | D+28.5 | D+18.4 |
| 1992 | 43.0% | 32.8% | D+10.2 | D+13.6 |
| 1988 | 47.9% | 51.4% | R+3.5 | D+20.5 |
| 1984 | 37.9% | 61.8% | R+24.0 | R+20.4 |
| 1980 | 42.9% | 46.5% | R+3.6 | D+8.3 |
| 1976 | 43.8% | 55.7% | R+11.9 | D+14.3 |
| 1972 | 36.8% | 63.0% | R+26.2 | R+11.3 |
| 1968 | 40.4% | 55.3% | R+14.9 | R+56.2 |
| 1964 | 70.6% | 29.3% | D+41.3 | D+55.5 |
| 1960 | 42.9% | 57.1% | R+14.2 | D+34.9 |
| 1956 | 25.5% | 74.5% | R+49.1 | R+10.9 |
| 1952 | 30.1% | 68.2% | R+38.2 | R+14.7 |
| 1948 | 37.1% | 60.6% | R+23.4 | — |
What defines St. Lawrence?
St. Lawrence has been trending Republican — 35pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 34.7 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 34.7 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate