
Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 82.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 8.1% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 5.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 26.5% | 51.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 15.0% | 29.2% |
| Catholic | 7.4% | 14.4% |
| Other | 1.2% | 2.4% |
| Black Protestant | 1.1% | 2.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.0% |
| Non-religious | 48.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+45.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+45.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+47.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+38.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+33.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+35.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+30.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+17.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+12.8 |
Lincoln, North Carolina is a county that has a population of 92,716. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+45.6. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26.7% | 72.3% | R+45.6 | D+0.3 |
| 2020 | 26.4% | 72.4% | R+45.9 | D+1.3 |
| 2016 | 24.7% | 72.0% | R+47.3 | R+8.5 |
| 2012 | 30.0% | 68.7% | R+38.7 | R+5.4 |
| 2008 | 32.7% | 66.0% | R+33.3 | D+2.6 |
| 2004 | 31.9% | 67.8% | R+35.9 | R+5.2 |
| 2000 | 34.3% | 65.0% | R+30.7 | R+12.9 |
| 1996 | 37.0% | 54.9% | R+17.8 | R+5.0 |
| 1992 | 36.5% | 49.3% | R+12.8 | D+15.9 |
| 1988 | 35.5% | 64.3% | R+28.7 | D+6.8 |
| 1984 | 32.1% | 67.6% | R+35.5 | R+28.5 |
| 1980 | 45.3% | 52.4% | R+7.0 | R+24.2 |
| 1976 | 58.4% | 41.2% | D+17.1 | D+42.3 |
| 1972 | 36.7% | 61.9% | R+25.2 | R+9.2 |
| 1968 | 30.2% | 46.2% | R+16.0 | R+26.9 |
| 1964 | 55.4% | 44.6% | D+10.9 | D+11.5 |
| 1960 | 49.7% | 50.3% | R+0.7 | D+5.8 |
| 1956 | 46.8% | 53.2% | R+6.4 | D+0.8 |
| 1952 | 46.4% | 53.6% | R+7.2 | R+6.4 |
| 1948 | 42.7% | 43.5% | R+0.8 | — |
Voter turnout stands out nationally — in the top 15% of peers in 2024.
Contextual statewide polling for North Carolina. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Roy Cooper leads at 48.8%