Orange County, North Carolina
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 66.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 10.6% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 10.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 7.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 1.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 17.3% | 34.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 13.1% | 26.3% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 10.4% | 20.9% |
| Other | 4.8% | 9.5% |
| Black Protestant | 4.0% | 8.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 2.6% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 50.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+50.8 |
| 2020 | Biden+51.1 |
| 2016 | Clinton+50.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+42.2 |
| 2008 | Obama+44.8 |
| 2004 | Kerry+34.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+26.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+29.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+33.0 |
Orange, North Carolina is a county that has a population of 149,678. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+50.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 74.5% | 23.7% | D+50.8 | R+0.2 |
| 2020 | 74.8% | 23.7% | D+51.1 | D+0.8 |
| 2016 | 72.8% | 22.5% | D+50.2 | D+8.1 |
| 2012 | 70.2% | 28.1% | D+42.2 | R+2.6 |
| 2008 | 71.8% | 27.1% | D+44.8 | D+10.3 |
| 2004 | 66.9% | 32.4% | D+34.5 | D+8.2 |
| 2000 | 62.7% | 36.3% | D+26.3 | R+2.8 |
| 1996 | 61.3% | 32.2% | D+29.1 | R+3.8 |
| 1992 | 60.5% | 27.5% | D+33.0 | D+11.8 |
| 1988 | 60.2% | 39.1% | D+21.1 | D+7.4 |
| 1984 | 56.7% | 43.0% | D+13.7 | R+7.1 |
| 1980 | 53.3% | 32.4% | D+20.9 | R+4.7 |
| 1976 | 62.5% | 36.9% | D+25.6 | D+21.5 |
| 1972 | 51.8% | 47.7% | D+4.1 | R+8.3 |
| 1968 | 45.7% | 33.3% | D+12.4 | R+10.4 |
| 1964 | 61.4% | 38.6% | D+22.8 | D+7.1 |
| 1960 | 57.9% | 42.1% | D+15.7 | D+11.9 |
| 1956 | 51.9% | 48.1% | D+3.8 | R+11.2 |
| 1952 | 57.5% | 42.5% | D+15.0 | R+14.3 |
| 1948 | 60.3% | 31.0% | D+29.3 | — |
What defines Orange?
It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
County in State Context
Current North Carolina Polling
Contextual statewide polling for North Carolina. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 North Carolina Senate General Election
Roy Cooper leads at 48.8%
4 pollsLow
Field Preview
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 50.8% margin
- College attainment is 62% — 29pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally