
Safe Republican — shifted 4.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
86K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+43.9
TURNOUT
60.5%
#70 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$61K
COLLEGE+
21%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 91% non-Hispanic white (+33pp vs national)
Evangelical edge: 39pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 25.4pp ahead of Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Contextual statewide polling for Ohio. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Sherrod Brown leads at 47.3%
Amy Acton leads at 49.5%