Centre County, Pennsylvania
Latest: 2024
Competitive — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 82.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 3.7% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 3.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 5.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 1.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Mainline Protestant | 11.9% | 35.2% |
| Catholic | 10.0% | 29.4% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 9.7% | 28.6% |
| Other | 2.0% | 6.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 2.6% |
| Black Protestant | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 66.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+2.8 |
| 2020 | Biden+4.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton+2.4 |
| 2012 | Obama+0.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+11.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+3.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+9.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+0.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+1.4 |
Centre, Pennsylvania is a county that has a population of 158,576. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+2.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50.9% | 48.1% | D+2.8 | R+1.9 |
| 2020 | 51.7% | 46.9% | D+4.8 | D+2.4 |
| 2016 | 48.0% | 45.6% | D+2.4 | D+2.1 |
| 2012 | 48.9% | 48.7% | D+0.3 | R+11.5 |
| 2008 | 55.1% | 43.3% | D+11.8 | D+15.5 |
| 2004 | 47.7% | 51.5% | R+3.7 | D+5.9 |
| 2000 | 43.2% | 52.8% | R+9.6 | R+10.1 |
| 1996 | 45.2% | 44.7% | D+0.5 | R+0.9 |
| 1992 | 41.3% | 40.0% | D+1.4 | D+14.3 |
| 1988 | 43.2% | 56.1% | R+13.0 | D+13.3 |
| 1984 | 36.6% | 62.8% | R+26.2 | R+15.4 |
| 1980 | 37.5% | 48.3% | R+10.8 | R+2.6 |
| 1976 | 44.2% | 52.4% | R+8.2 | D+13.7 |
| 1972 | 38.6% | 60.5% | R+21.9 | R+5.4 |
| 1968 | 39.1% | 55.6% | R+16.5 | R+43.5 |
| 1964 | 63.2% | 36.2% | D+27.0 | D+63.1 |
| 1960 | 31.9% | 68.0% | R+36.1 | R+1.6 |
| 1956 | 32.6% | 67.2% | R+34.6 | R+1.6 |
| 1952 | 33.3% | 66.3% | R+33.0 | R+9.9 |
| 1948 | 38.5% | 61.5% | R+23.0 | — |
What defines Centre?
Centre has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- The 2012 election was decided by just 0.3 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2004