Fayette County, Pennsylvania
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 1.4% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 3.9% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 12.7% | 35.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 11.4% | 32.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 10.2% | 28.7% |
| Black Protestant | 0.7% | 2.0% |
| Other | 0.4% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 64.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+38.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+33.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+30.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+8.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+0.4 |
| 2004 | Kerry+7.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+16.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+26.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+33.0 |
Fayette, Pennsylvania is a county that has a population of 125,997. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+38.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30.8% | 68.7% | R+38.0 | R+4.5 |
| 2020 | 32.9% | 66.3% | R+33.5 | R+2.7 |
| 2016 | 33.2% | 63.9% | R+30.8 | R+22.4 |
| 2012 | 45.2% | 53.5% | R+8.3 | R+7.9 |
| 2008 | 48.9% | 49.4% | R+0.4 | R+7.9 |
| 2004 | 53.2% | 45.8% | D+7.5 | R+9.0 |
| 2000 | 56.8% | 40.4% | D+16.4 | R+10.1 |
| 1996 | 56.6% | 30.1% | D+26.5 | R+6.4 |
| 1992 | 56.8% | 23.8% | D+33.0 | D+0.8 |
| 1988 | 65.7% | 33.6% | D+32.1 | D+7.8 |
| 1984 | 62.1% | 37.7% | D+24.4 | D+6.7 |
| 1980 | 56.6% | 39.0% | D+17.6 | R+5.3 |
| 1976 | 60.5% | 37.6% | D+22.9 | D+32.5 |
| 1972 | 44.5% | 54.1% | R+9.5 | R+35.5 |
| 1968 | 57.8% | 31.8% | D+25.9 | R+21.2 |
| 1964 | 73.4% | 26.2% | D+47.2 | D+26.2 |
| 1960 | 60.4% | 39.4% | D+21.0 | D+5.2 |
| 1956 | 57.7% | 42.0% | D+15.8 | R+7.4 |
| 1952 | 61.2% | 38.1% | D+23.1 | R+2.8 |
| 1948 | 62.0% | 36.2% | D+25.9 | — |
What defines Fayette?
Fayette has been trending Republican — 30pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 38.0% margin
- The 2008 election was decided by just 0.4 points — razor-thin