Jefferson County, Pennsylvania
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 95.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 1.0% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 0.4% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.8% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Mainline Protestant | 18.7% | 39.2% |
| Catholic | 14.2% | 29.7% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 13.0% | 27.2% |
| Other | 1.5% | 3.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.0% |
| Black Protestant | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 52.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+58.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+58.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+58.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+45.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+29.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+37.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+33.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+14.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+7.2 |
Jefferson, Pennsylvania is a county that has a population of 43,864. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+58.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20.4% | 78.8% | R+58.5 | D+0.4 |
| 2020 | 19.8% | 78.7% | R+58.9 | 0.0 |
| 2016 | 18.6% | 77.5% | R+58.9 | R+13.4 |
| 2012 | 26.3% | 71.8% | R+45.5 | R+15.8 |
| 2008 | 34.1% | 63.8% | R+29.7 | D+7.7 |
| 2004 | 31.0% | 68.4% | R+37.3 | R+3.7 |
| 2000 | 31.7% | 65.2% | R+33.6 | R+19.6 |
| 1996 | 35.5% | 49.6% | R+14.0 | R+6.8 |
| 1992 | 33.9% | 41.1% | R+7.2 | D+14.6 |
| 1988 | 38.7% | 60.5% | R+21.8 | D+9.2 |
| 1984 | 34.3% | 65.3% | R+31.0 | R+11.2 |
| 1980 | 37.5% | 57.4% | R+19.9 | R+8.3 |
| 1976 | 43.5% | 55.1% | R+11.6 | D+27.6 |
| 1972 | 29.8% | 68.9% | R+39.1 | R+20.8 |
| 1968 | 37.3% | 55.7% | R+18.4 | R+31.3 |
| 1964 | 56.3% | 43.5% | D+12.9 | D+40.7 |
| 1960 | 36.0% | 63.8% | R+27.8 | D+4.8 |
| 1956 | 33.6% | 66.3% | R+32.6 | R+2.8 |
| 1952 | 34.8% | 64.6% | R+29.9 | R+5.3 |
| 1948 | 36.8% | 61.4% | R+24.6 | — |
What defines Jefferson?
It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 58.5% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 29.2 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate