Luzerne County, Pennsylvania
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 74.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 17.3% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 5.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 36.7% | 72.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.5% | 14.7% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 4.3% | 8.4% |
| Other | 2.2% | 4.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 49.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+19.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+14.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+19.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+4.8 |
| 2008 | Obama+8.4 |
| 2004 | Kerry+3.4 |
| 2000 | Gore+8.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+14.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+5.8 |
Luzerne, Pennsylvania is a county that has a population of 327,675. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+19.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40.0% | 59.2% | R+19.2 | R+4.8 |
| 2020 | 42.3% | 56.7% | R+14.4 | D+4.9 |
| 2016 | 38.6% | 57.9% | R+19.3 | R+24.1 |
| 2012 | 51.5% | 46.7% | D+4.8 | R+3.6 |
| 2008 | 53.3% | 45.0% | D+8.4 | D+5.0 |
| 2004 | 51.1% | 47.7% | D+3.4 | R+4.8 |
| 2000 | 52.0% | 43.8% | D+8.3 | R+6.0 |
| 1996 | 51.5% | 37.3% | D+14.2 | D+8.4 |
| 1992 | 44.5% | 38.8% | D+5.8 | D+6.2 |
| 1988 | 49.6% | 50.0% | R+0.4 | D+7.8 |
| 1984 | 45.2% | 53.5% | R+8.3 | R+2.5 |
| 1980 | 44.4% | 50.2% | R+5.8 | R+16.5 |
| 1976 | 54.9% | 44.2% | D+10.7 | D+33.4 |
| 1972 | 38.3% | 60.9% | R+22.6 | R+38.0 |
| 1968 | 55.1% | 39.8% | D+15.3 | R+25.8 |
| 1964 | 70.0% | 28.9% | D+41.1 | D+22.6 |
| 1960 | 59.1% | 40.6% | D+18.5 | D+35.7 |
| 1956 | 41.0% | 58.2% | R+17.2 | R+7.1 |
| 1952 | 44.7% | 54.8% | R+10.1 | R+2.9 |
| 1948 | 45.6% | 52.9% | R+7.2 | — |
What defines Luzerne?
Luzerne has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (3D, 3R) — a genuine swing geography.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 27.7 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
- Swung 4.8 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024