Mercer County, Pennsylvania
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 1.7% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 5.8% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 13.0% | 32.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 12.9% | 32.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 12.1% | 30.4% |
| Black Protestant | 1.0% | 2.4% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.5% | 1.2% |
| Other | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 60.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+30.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+26.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+24.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+3.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+0.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+2.9 |
| 2000 | Gore+1.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+12.7 |
| 1992 | Clinton+14.4 |
Mercer, Pennsylvania is a county that has a population of 109,257. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+30.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34.5% | 64.6% | R+30.2 | R+4.1 |
| 2020 | 36.4% | 62.4% | R+26.0 | R+1.8 |
| 2016 | 35.5% | 59.7% | R+24.3 | R+20.9 |
| 2012 | 47.5% | 50.8% | R+3.3 | R+3.0 |
| 2008 | 48.8% | 49.0% | R+0.3 | D+2.6 |
| 2004 | 48.2% | 51.0% | R+2.9 | R+4.3 |
| 2000 | 48.9% | 47.5% | D+1.4 | R+11.2 |
| 1996 | 50.2% | 37.6% | D+12.7 | R+1.8 |
| 1992 | 46.7% | 32.3% | D+14.4 | D+7.9 |
| 1988 | 52.9% | 46.4% | D+6.5 | D+5.6 |
| 1984 | 50.0% | 49.1% | D+0.9 | D+6.7 |
| 1980 | 42.8% | 48.5% | R+5.8 | R+11.1 |
| 1976 | 51.9% | 46.6% | D+5.3 | D+26.3 |
| 1972 | 38.4% | 59.4% | R+21.0 | R+20.3 |
| 1968 | 46.5% | 47.1% | R+0.7 | R+28.4 |
| 1964 | 63.7% | 35.9% | D+27.8 | D+36.9 |
| 1960 | 45.3% | 54.4% | R+9.1 | D+9.4 |
| 1956 | 40.6% | 59.1% | R+18.5 | R+6.6 |
| 1952 | 43.7% | 55.6% | R+11.9 | R+4.1 |
| 1948 | 44.9% | 52.7% | R+7.8 | — |
What defines Mercer?
Mercer has been trending Republican — 27pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 30.2% margin
- The 2008 election was decided by just 0.3 points — razor-thin