Greenville County, South Carolina
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 65.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 11.6% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 15.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.6% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.3% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 34.3% | 57.7% |
| Catholic | 11.4% | 19.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.3% | 12.3% |
| Black Protestant | 3.6% | 6.1% |
| Other | 2.2% | 3.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.0% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.5% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 40.7% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+22.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+18.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+24.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+27.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+23.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+33.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+34.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+24.6 |
| 1992 | Bush+26.7 |
Greenville, South Carolina is a county that has a population of 548,166. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+22.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.0% | 60.2% | R+22.2 | R+4.0 |
| 2020 | 39.9% | 58.1% | R+18.2 | D+6.6 |
| 2016 | 34.6% | 59.4% | R+24.8 | D+3.0 |
| 2012 | 35.2% | 63.0% | R+27.8 | R+3.9 |
| 2008 | 37.2% | 61.0% | R+23.9 | D+9.4 |
| 2004 | 32.8% | 66.0% | R+33.3 | D+1.6 |
| 2000 | 31.2% | 66.1% | R+34.9 | R+10.3 |
| 1996 | 34.5% | 59.1% | R+24.6 | D+2.1 |
| 1992 | 30.4% | 57.1% | R+26.7 | D+15.5 |
| 1988 | 28.6% | 70.8% | R+42.2 | D+4.4 |
| 1984 | 26.4% | 73.1% | R+46.7 | R+29.2 |
| 1980 | 40.0% | 57.4% | R+17.4 | R+13.3 |
| 1976 | 47.3% | 51.5% | R+4.2 | D+58.1 |
| 1972 | 17.4% | 79.6% | R+62.2 | R+30.9 |
| 1968 | 21.6% | 52.9% | R+31.3 | R+5.4 |
| 1964 | 37.1% | 62.9% | R+25.9 | R+2.2 |
| 1960 | 38.2% | 61.8% | R+23.7 | R+27.6 |
| 1956 | 43.5% | 39.5% | D+3.9 | R+39.7 |
| 1952 | 45.6% | 2.0% | D+43.6 | D+22.9 |
| 1948 | 29.0% | 8.3% | D+20.6 | — |
What defines Greenville?
It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the urban swing demographic that decides close elections.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 22.2% margin
- College attainment is 41% — 8pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally