Leans Republican — shifted 10.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 29 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 46.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 17.6% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 32.9% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 17.0% | 45.2% |
| Other | 8.5% | 22.6% |
| Catholic | 6.8% | 18.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 4.6% | 12.3% |
| Black Protestant | 3.5% | 9.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.7% | 4.6% |
| Non-religious | 62.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+9.6 |
| 2020 | Biden+0.7 |
| 2016 | Clinton+6.7 |
| 2012 | Obama+15.8 |
| 2008 | Obama+22.9 |
| 2004 | Kerry+13.3 |
| 2000 | Gore+19.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+31.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+30.0 |
Jasper, South Carolina is a county that has a population of 32,166. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+9.6. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44.7% | 54.3% | R+9.6 | R+10.4 |
| 2020 | 49.9% | 49.2% | D+0.7 | R+6.0 |
| 2016 | 52.1% | 45.4% | D+6.7 | R+9.1 |
| 2012 | 57.4% | 41.6% | D+15.8 | R+7.0 |
| 2008 | 60.9% | 38.0% | D+22.9 | D+9.6 |
| 2004 | 56.1% | 42.8% | D+13.3 | R+5.8 |
| 2000 | 56.4% | 37.3% | D+19.0 | R+12.3 |
| 1996 | 62.7% | 31.3% | D+31.4 | D+1.4 |
| 1992 | 59.9% | 29.9% | D+30.0 | D+11.9 |
| 1988 | 58.7% | 40.7% | D+18.1 | D+8.6 |
| 1984 | 54.6% | 45.1% | D+9.5 | R+24.6 |
| 1980 | 66.7% | 32.5% | D+34.1 | R+6.5 |
| 1976 | 70.1% | 29.5% | D+40.6 | D+56.1 |
| 1972 | 41.7% | 57.2% | R+15.5 | R+40.2 |
| 1968 | 45.0% | 20.3% | D+24.7 | D+47.5 |
| 1964 | 38.6% | 61.4% | R+22.8 | R+18.9 |
| 1960 | 48.1% | 51.9% | R+3.9 | D+11.3 |
| 1956 | 16.5% | 31.7% | R+15.2 | R+56.0 |
| 1952 | 44.3% | 3.5% | D+40.8 | D+28.4 |
| 1948 | 15.9% | 3.5% | D+12.4 | — |
Jasper has been trending Republican — 25pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (54% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.