Grainger County, Tennessee
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 93.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 3.6% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 1.3% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.3% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 47.3% | 90.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.8% | 5.4% |
| Catholic | 1.4% | 2.6% |
| Black Protestant | 0.6% | 1.2% |
| Non-religious | 47.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+73.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+70.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+68.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+52.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+43.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+31.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+22.4 |
| 1996 | Dole+13.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+9.5 |
Grainger, Tennessee is a county that has a population of 24,266. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+73.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12.9% | 86.5% | R+73.7 | R+3.6 |
| 2020 | 14.5% | 84.5% | R+70.0 | R+1.7 |
| 2016 | 14.4% | 82.7% | R+68.3 | R+15.9 |
| 2012 | 23.0% | 75.4% | R+52.4 | R+9.4 |
| 2008 | 27.5% | 70.6% | R+43.1 | R+12.0 |
| 2004 | 34.1% | 65.2% | R+31.1 | R+8.7 |
| 2000 | 38.1% | 60.5% | R+22.4 | R+9.3 |
| 1996 | 39.6% | 52.7% | R+13.1 | R+3.5 |
| 1992 | 40.4% | 49.9% | R+9.5 | D+21.9 |
| 1988 | 34.1% | 65.5% | R+31.4 | D+2.8 |
| 1984 | 32.5% | 66.7% | R+34.2 | D+2.1 |
| 1980 | 30.8% | 67.1% | R+36.3 | R+20.1 |
| 1976 | 41.5% | 57.7% | R+16.2 | D+38.1 |
| 1972 | 22.3% | 76.5% | R+54.2 | R+5.3 |
| 1968 | 18.4% | 67.3% | R+48.9 | R+15.3 |
| 1964 | 33.2% | 66.8% | R+33.6 | D+18.6 |
| 1960 | 23.6% | 75.9% | R+52.3 | R+6.3 |
| 1956 | 26.5% | 72.4% | R+45.9 | D+6.8 |
| 1952 | 23.6% | 76.3% | R+52.7 | R+6.3 |
| 1948 | 25.3% | 71.8% | R+46.4 | — |
What defines Grainger?
Grainger has been trending Republican — 21pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 73.7% margin
- Shifted 21.2 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Grainger sits inside these higher-level geographies.