Haywood County, Tennessee
Latest: 2024
Competitive — shifted 8.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 43.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 4.8% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 49.0% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.3% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 35.5% | 55.2% |
| Black Protestant | 16.2% | 25.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 9.5% | 14.8% |
| Other | 1.9% | 2.9% |
| Catholic | 1.2% | 1.9% |
| Non-religious | 35.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+0.4 |
| 2020 | Biden+9.0 |
| 2016 | Clinton+10.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+21.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+21.3 |
| 2004 | Kerry+16.1 |
| 2000 | Gore+20.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+21.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+15.6 |
Haywood, Tennessee is a county that has a population of 17,475. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+0.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49.8% | 49.4% | D+0.4 | R+8.6 |
| 2020 | 53.9% | 44.9% | D+9.0 | R+1.2 |
| 2016 | 54.3% | 44.1% | D+10.2 | R+11.1 |
| 2012 | 60.4% | 39.1% | D+21.3 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | 60.3% | 39.0% | D+21.3 | D+5.1 |
| 2004 | 57.8% | 41.6% | D+16.1 | R+4.4 |
| 2000 | 60.0% | 39.4% | D+20.6 | R+0.5 |
| 1996 | 59.1% | 38.0% | D+21.1 | D+5.5 |
| 1992 | 55.1% | 39.5% | D+15.6 | D+11.4 |
| 1988 | 51.8% | 47.6% | D+4.2 | R+3.4 |
| 1984 | 53.6% | 46.0% | D+7.6 | R+9.4 |
| 1980 | 58.0% | 41.0% | D+17.0 | R+13.6 |
| 1976 | 65.0% | 34.5% | D+30.5 | D+52.6 |
| 1972 | 37.4% | 59.5% | R+22.0 | R+31.9 |
| 1968 | 30.4% | 20.5% | D+9.9 | D+12.4 |
| 1964 | 48.8% | 51.2% | R+2.5 | R+22.9 |
| 1960 | 56.0% | 35.6% | D+20.4 | R+35.8 |
| 1956 | 73.2% | 17.0% | D+56.2 | D+12.0 |
| 1952 | 71.9% | 27.8% | D+44.1 | D+1.8 |
| 1948 | 49.3% | 7.0% | D+42.4 | — |
What defines Haywood?
Haywood has been trending Republican — 21pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (57% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- The 2024 election was decided by just 0.4 points — razor-thin
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Senate