
Safe Republican — shifted 4.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
36K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+64.7
TURNOUT
58.7%
#41 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$65K
COLLEGE+
21%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 85% non-Hispanic white (+27pp vs national)
Evangelical edge: 78pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 35.7pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.