Mcnairy County, Tennessee
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 2.2% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 5.4% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 55.2% | 83.4% |
| Black Protestant | 5.0% | 7.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.9% | 7.3% |
| Other | 0.7% | 1.1% |
| Catholic | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 33.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+68.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+63.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+59.7 |
| 2012 | Romney+44.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+38.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+17.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+9.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+1.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+6.2 |
Mcnairy, Tennessee is a county that has a population of 25,970. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+68.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15.3% | 83.8% | R+68.4 | R+5.0 |
| 2020 | 17.2% | 80.6% | R+63.4 | R+3.7 |
| 2016 | 18.4% | 78.1% | R+59.7 | R+15.1 |
| 2012 | 27.0% | 71.6% | R+44.6 | R+6.2 |
| 2008 | 30.0% | 68.5% | R+38.4 | R+21.4 |
| 2004 | 41.3% | 58.3% | R+17.0 | R+7.0 |
| 2000 | 44.5% | 54.5% | R+9.9 | R+11.0 |
| 1996 | 47.2% | 46.2% | D+1.1 | R+5.2 |
| 1992 | 48.9% | 42.7% | D+6.2 | D+19.8 |
| 1988 | 42.9% | 56.5% | R+13.6 | R+2.6 |
| 1984 | 44.3% | 55.3% | R+11.0 | R+1.6 |
| 1980 | 44.6% | 54.1% | R+9.4 | R+21.1 |
| 1976 | 55.5% | 43.8% | D+11.7 | D+60.2 |
| 1972 | 24.7% | 73.2% | R+48.5 | R+26.4 |
| 1968 | 19.1% | 41.2% | R+22.2 | R+20.3 |
| 1964 | 49.1% | 50.9% | R+1.9 | D+18.4 |
| 1960 | 38.8% | 59.1% | R+20.3 | R+4.1 |
| 1956 | 41.2% | 57.4% | R+16.2 | R+4.3 |
| 1952 | 44.1% | 55.9% | R+11.9 | R+9.4 |
| 1948 | 45.6% | 48.1% | R+2.5 | — |
What defines Mcnairy?
Mcnairy has been trending Republican — 24pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 68.4% margin
- Shifted 23.9 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections