
Safe Republican — shifted 4.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 86.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 4.7% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 2.0% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 52.1% | 87.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.9% | 6.4% |
| Catholic | 2.2% | 3.6% |
| Black Protestant | 1.1% | 1.9% |
| Other | 0.6% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 40.1% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+66.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+62.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+59.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+45.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+38.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+30.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+16.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+3.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+5.2 |
Monroe, Tennessee is a county that has a population of 47,695. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+66.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16.2% | 83.0% | R+66.8 | R+4.2 |
| 2020 | 18.1% | 80.7% | R+62.6 | R+3.0 |
| 2016 | 18.6% | 78.2% | R+59.6 | R+14.6 |
| 2012 | 26.8% | 71.8% | R+45.0 | R+6.7 |
| 2008 | 30.1% | 68.5% | R+38.3 | R+7.7 |
| 2004 | 34.4% | 65.0% | R+30.6 | R+13.8 |
| 2000 | 41.0% | 57.8% | R+16.8 | R+13.3 |
| 1996 | 44.6% | 48.1% | R+3.5 | D+1.6 |
| 1992 | 43.4% | 48.5% | R+5.2 | D+17.5 |
| 1988 | 38.5% | 61.1% | R+22.7 | R+0.4 |
| 1984 | 38.6% | 60.9% | R+22.3 | R+7.5 |
| 1980 | 41.7% | 56.4% | R+14.8 | R+15.1 |
| 1976 | 49.9% | 49.6% | D+0.3 | D+32.6 |
| 1972 | 33.2% | 65.5% | R+32.3 | R+11.8 |
| 1968 | 32.9% | 53.4% | R+20.5 | R+17.5 |
| 1964 | 48.5% | 51.5% | R+3.0 | D+16.2 |
| 1960 | 39.9% | 59.1% | R+19.1 | R+1.8 |
| 1956 | 40.9% | 58.3% | R+17.3 | R+6.7 |
| 1952 | 44.4% | 55.1% | R+10.7 | R+6.0 |
| 1948 | 47.1% | 51.7% | R+4.7 | — |
Monroe has been trending Republican — 22pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.