Rutherford County, Tennessee
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 6.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 63.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 12.2% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 14.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 1.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 25.9% | 68.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.1% | 10.8% |
| Other | 3.0% | 8.0% |
| Catholic | 2.6% | 6.7% |
| Black Protestant | 1.8% | 4.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.0% | 2.7% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.7% | 1.9% |
| Non-religious | 61.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+21.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+15.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+25.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+24.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+19.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+24.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+9.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+3.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+4.7 |
Rutherford, Tennessee is a county that has a population of 360,646. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+21.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.4% | 60.1% | R+21.8 | R+6.4 |
| 2020 | 41.2% | 56.6% | R+15.4 | D+10.5 |
| 2016 | 34.2% | 60.0% | R+25.9 | R+1.2 |
| 2012 | 36.8% | 61.6% | R+24.7 | R+5.6 |
| 2008 | 39.7% | 58.8% | R+19.1 | D+5.3 |
| 2004 | 37.5% | 61.8% | R+24.4 | R+14.6 |
| 2000 | 44.0% | 53.8% | R+9.8 | R+6.4 |
| 1996 | 44.2% | 47.6% | R+3.4 | R+8.1 |
| 1992 | 44.7% | 40.0% | D+4.7 | D+29.5 |
| 1988 | 37.3% | 62.2% | R+24.9 | D+0.2 |
| 1984 | 36.9% | 62.0% | R+25.1 | R+39.7 |
| 1980 | 55.6% | 41.0% | D+14.6 | R+15.4 |
| 1976 | 64.4% | 34.3% | D+30.0 | D+61.1 |
| 1972 | 33.1% | 64.1% | R+31.0 | R+35.5 |
| 1968 | 29.2% | 24.7% | D+4.5 | R+35.7 |
| 1964 | 70.1% | 29.9% | D+40.2 | D+23.1 |
| 1960 | 58.0% | 41.0% | D+17.1 | R+23.6 |
| 1956 | 69.8% | 29.2% | D+40.6 | D+4.9 |
| 1952 | 67.5% | 31.8% | D+35.8 | R+18.5 |
| 1948 | 68.3% | 14.1% | D+54.2 | — |
What defines Rutherford?
It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the urban swing demographic that decides close elections. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 21.8% margin
- Turnout of 55.3% in 2024 ranked 73 of 95 in the state — bottom quartile
Located In
Rutherford sits inside these higher-level geographies.