Safe Republican — 33 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
79K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+40.5
TURNOUT
63.2%
#27 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$107K
COLLEGE+
23%
Place Story
Ticket-splitting: President ran 35.7pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 78% non-Hispanic white (+20pp vs national)
Catholic edge: 9pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.