Arlington County, Virginia
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 4.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 58.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 15.9% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 9.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 10.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 2.8% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 15.7% | 45.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.5% | 18.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 5.7% | 16.3% |
| Black Protestant | 3.3% | 9.5% |
| Other | 3.1% | 8.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 3.5% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.6% | 1.8% |
| Non-religious | 65.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+58.6 |
| 2020 | Biden+63.5 |
| 2016 | Clinton+59.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+39.8 |
| 2008 | Obama+44.6 |
| 2004 | Kerry+36.3 |
| 2000 | Gore+26.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+25.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+25.9 |
Arlington, Virginia is a county that has a population of 236,254. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+58.6. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 78.3% | 19.6% | D+58.6 | R+4.9 |
| 2020 | 80.6% | 17.1% | D+63.5 | D+4.3 |
| 2016 | 75.8% | 16.6% | D+59.2 | D+19.4 |
| 2012 | 69.1% | 29.3% | D+39.8 | R+4.8 |
| 2008 | 71.7% | 27.1% | D+44.6 | D+8.3 |
| 2004 | 67.6% | 31.3% | D+36.3 | D+10.3 |
| 2000 | 60.1% | 34.2% | D+26.0 | D+0.2 |
| 1996 | 60.5% | 34.6% | D+25.8 | R+0.1 |
| 1992 | 57.8% | 31.9% | D+25.9 | D+17.8 |
| 1988 | 53.5% | 45.4% | D+8.1 | D+5.1 |
| 1984 | 51.3% | 48.2% | D+3.0 | D+9.5 |
| 1980 | 39.6% | 46.1% | R+6.5 | R+8.9 |
| 1976 | 50.4% | 47.9% | D+2.4 | D+22.8 |
| 1972 | 39.0% | 59.4% | R+20.4 | R+17.0 |
| 1968 | 42.6% | 45.9% | R+3.4 | R+27.4 |
| 1964 | 61.7% | 37.7% | D+24.1 | D+27.4 |
| 1960 | 48.1% | 51.4% | R+3.3 | D+9.7 |
| 1956 | 42.0% | 55.0% | R+13.1 | D+9.3 |
| 1952 | 38.6% | 60.9% | R+22.3 | R+7.5 |
| 1948 | 38.8% | 53.6% | R+14.8 | — |
What defines Arlington?
It has a diverse, highly educated electorate — the core of the modern Democratic coalition.
County in State Context
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Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 58.6% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 23.7 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Located In
Arlington sits inside these higher-level geographies.