Cumberland County, Virginia
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 7.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(10) | 64.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 2.0% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 29.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.3% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 39.6% | 87.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.4% | 12.0% |
| Non-religious | 54.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+22.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+14.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+13.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+2.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+3.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+15.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+16.2 |
| 1996 | Dole+7.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+10.6 |
Cumberland, Virginia is a county that has a population of 9,818. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+22.2. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.6% | 60.8% | R+22.2 | R+7.3 |
| 2020 | 41.9% | 56.9% | R+14.9 | R+1.4 |
| 2016 | 41.5% | 55.0% | R+13.5 | R+11.2 |
| 2012 | 48.0% | 50.3% | R+2.3 | D+1.2 |
| 2008 | 47.7% | 51.2% | R+3.5 | D+12.4 |
| 2004 | 41.7% | 57.6% | R+15.9 | D+0.3 |
| 2000 | 40.1% | 56.3% | R+16.2 | R+8.7 |
| 1996 | 40.8% | 48.4% | R+7.5 | D+3.1 |
| 1992 | 37.9% | 48.6% | R+10.6 | D+16.2 |
| 1988 | 35.8% | 62.6% | R+26.8 | R+3.1 |
| 1984 | 37.2% | 60.9% | R+23.7 | R+18.4 |
| 1980 | 44.8% | 50.1% | R+5.3 | R+5.9 |
| 1976 | 47.2% | 46.6% | D+0.7 | D+17.6 |
| 1972 | 40.8% | 57.8% | R+16.9 | R+22.4 |
| 1968 | 40.2% | 34.7% | D+5.5 | D+17.0 |
| 1964 | 44.1% | 55.6% | R+11.5 | R+1.1 |
| 1960 | 44.3% | 54.8% | R+10.5 | D+7.4 |
| 1956 | 25.1% | 42.9% | R+17.8 | R+8.3 |
| 1952 | 44.9% | 54.4% | R+9.5 | R+34.7 |
| 1948 | 52.2% | 26.9% | D+25.2 | — |
What defines Cumberland?
Cumberland has been trending Republican — 20pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (21% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 22.2% margin
- Shifted 19.9 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections