Frederick County, Virginia
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 77.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 12.5% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 4.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 20.9% | 63.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 9.6% | 29.0% |
| Other | 2.4% | 7.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.6% |
| Black Protestant | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 66.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+28.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+27.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+35.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+27.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+21.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+36.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+33.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+25.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+25.7 |
Frederick, Virginia is a county that has a population of 95,008. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+28.4. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35.2% | 63.6% | R+28.4 | R+1.0 |
| 2020 | 35.3% | 62.7% | R+27.4 | D+7.6 |
| 2016 | 29.5% | 64.5% | R+35.0 | R+7.1 |
| 2012 | 34.9% | 62.8% | R+27.9 | R+6.6 |
| 2008 | 38.6% | 59.9% | R+21.4 | D+15.5 |
| 2004 | 31.0% | 67.9% | R+36.9 | R+3.8 |
| 2000 | 32.0% | 65.1% | R+33.1 | R+8.0 |
| 1996 | 32.5% | 57.6% | R+25.2 | D+0.5 |
| 1992 | 28.3% | 54.0% | R+25.7 | D+19.6 |
| 1988 | 27.0% | 72.3% | R+45.3 | D+10.7 |
| 1984 | 21.8% | 77.8% | R+56.0 | R+15.7 |
| 1980 | 27.3% | 67.6% | R+40.3 | R+19.8 |
| 1976 | 39.1% | 59.5% | R+20.4 | D+32.3 |
| 1972 | 22.5% | 75.2% | R+52.7 | R+24.8 |
| 1968 | 21.6% | 49.6% | R+28.0 | R+33.4 |
| 1964 | 52.6% | 47.2% | D+5.4 | D+13.3 |
| 1960 | 45.8% | 53.7% | R+7.9 | D+6.3 |
| 1956 | 41.8% | 56.0% | R+14.2 | D+1.0 |
| 1952 | 42.3% | 57.5% | R+15.2 | R+28.7 |
| 1948 | 51.7% | 38.3% | D+13.4 | — |
What defines Frederick?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 28.4% margin
- Turnout increased by 4.7 percentage points since the previous presidential election