Goochland County, Virginia
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 77.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 3.8% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 13.7% |
▶Asian(4) | 1.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 1.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 19.9% | 42.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 16.1% | 34.7% |
| Other | 9.7% | 20.8% |
| Black Protestant | 0.7% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 53.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+18.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+19.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+24.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+28.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+22.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+29.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+24.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+18.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+16.6 |
Goochland, Virginia is a county that has a population of 26,410. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+18.6. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40.1% | 58.7% | R+18.6 | D+0.8 |
| 2020 | 39.4% | 58.8% | R+19.4 | D+5.5 |
| 2016 | 34.8% | 59.7% | R+24.9 | D+3.4 |
| 2012 | 35.1% | 63.4% | R+28.3 | R+5.8 |
| 2008 | 38.3% | 60.8% | R+22.5 | D+7.3 |
| 2004 | 34.7% | 64.5% | R+29.8 | R+5.0 |
| 2000 | 36.4% | 61.3% | R+24.9 | R+6.9 |
| 1996 | 37.5% | 55.5% | R+18.0 | R+1.3 |
| 1992 | 34.6% | 51.3% | R+16.6 | D+9.2 |
| 1988 | 36.7% | 62.6% | R+25.9 | R+4.1 |
| 1984 | 38.8% | 60.6% | R+21.8 | R+19.1 |
| 1980 | 47.0% | 49.7% | R+2.7 | R+6.2 |
| 1976 | 50.7% | 47.2% | D+3.5 | D+28.5 |
| 1972 | 36.0% | 61.0% | R+25.0 | R+30.0 |
| 1968 | 40.1% | 35.1% | D+5.0 | R+2.8 |
| 1964 | 53.8% | 46.0% | D+7.8 | D+7.2 |
| 1960 | 49.3% | 48.7% | D+0.6 | D+16.7 |
| 1956 | 34.0% | 50.1% | R+16.1 | R+22.9 |
| 1952 | 53.0% | 46.1% | D+6.8 | R+27.4 |
| 1948 | 59.9% | 25.6% | D+34.3 | — |
What defines Goochland?
Goochland has been drifting steadily toward Democrats — 10pp bluer over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Shifted 9.7 points toward Democrats over the last 4 elections
- Margins have been narrowing — from 24.9pp to 18.6pp over the last 3 presidential elections