Hanover County, Virginia
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 8.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 26.7% | 51.4% |
| Catholic | 11.4% | 21.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.0% | 19.2% |
| Other | 2.7% | 5.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 2.6% |
| Black Protestant | 1.2% | 2.2% |
| Non-religious | 48.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+25.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+26.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+32.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+36.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+33.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+43.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+39.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+35.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+35.9 |
Hanover, Virginia is a county that has a population of 112,879. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+25.8. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36.6% | 62.3% | R+25.8 | D+1.0 |
| 2020 | 35.7% | 62.4% | R+26.8 | D+5.5 |
| 2016 | 30.9% | 63.2% | R+32.3 | D+4.4 |
| 2012 | 31.0% | 67.6% | R+36.6 | R+3.0 |
| 2008 | 32.8% | 66.4% | R+33.6 | D+9.7 |
| 2004 | 28.1% | 71.4% | R+43.3 | R+3.4 |
| 2000 | 29.0% | 68.8% | R+39.9 | R+4.7 |
| 1996 | 28.5% | 63.6% | R+35.1 | D+0.8 |
| 1992 | 23.4% | 59.4% | R+35.9 | D+18.7 |
| 1988 | 22.4% | 77.0% | R+54.6 | D+4.3 |
| 1984 | 20.4% | 79.3% | R+58.9 | R+15.3 |
| 1980 | 26.4% | 70.0% | R+43.6 | R+12.9 |
| 1976 | 34.0% | 64.7% | R+30.7 | D+34.4 |
| 1972 | 16.1% | 81.2% | R+65.1 | R+34.2 |
| 1968 | 19.2% | 50.0% | R+30.9 | R+4.9 |
| 1964 | 37.0% | 62.9% | R+26.0 | R+6.4 |
| 1960 | 39.8% | 59.4% | R+19.6 | D+8.1 |
| 1956 | 26.4% | 54.1% | R+27.7 | R+8.1 |
| 1952 | 40.2% | 59.8% | R+19.6 | R+29.1 |
| 1948 | 47.6% | 38.1% | D+9.5 | — |
What defines Hanover?
Hanover has been drifting steadily toward Democrats — 11pp bluer over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a highly educated electorate (43% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Democrats nationwide.
County in State Context
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 25.8% margin
- Shifted 10.9 points toward Democrats over the last 4 elections