Loudoun County, Virginia
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 8.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 51.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 14.3% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 7.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 21.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 3.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 12.6% | 43.8% |
| Other | 6.0% | 21.0% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 4.8% | 16.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.7% | 16.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 5.7% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.6% | 2.0% |
| Non-religious | 71.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+16.3 |
| 2020 | Biden+25.0 |
| 2016 | Clinton+16.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+4.5 |
| 2008 | Obama+8.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+12.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+15.2 |
| 1996 | Dole+11.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+11.6 |
Loudoun, Virginia is a county that has a population of 432,998. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+16.3. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56.7% | 40.4% | D+16.3 | R+8.7 |
| 2020 | 61.5% | 36.5% | D+25.0 | D+8.2 |
| 2016 | 55.1% | 38.2% | D+16.9 | D+12.4 |
| 2012 | 51.5% | 47.0% | D+4.5 | R+3.8 |
| 2008 | 53.7% | 45.4% | D+8.3 | D+20.3 |
| 2004 | 43.6% | 55.7% | R+12.1 | D+3.1 |
| 2000 | 40.9% | 56.1% | R+15.2 | R+3.5 |
| 1996 | 40.4% | 52.1% | R+11.7 | R+0.1 |
| 1992 | 34.8% | 46.4% | R+11.6 | D+21.9 |
| 1988 | 32.7% | 66.3% | R+33.5 | D+3.0 |
| 1984 | 31.5% | 68.0% | R+36.5 | R+10.2 |
| 1980 | 32.7% | 58.9% | R+26.3 | R+19.5 |
| 1976 | 45.0% | 51.8% | R+6.7 | D+33.6 |
| 1972 | 29.1% | 69.5% | R+40.4 | R+27.2 |
| 1968 | 32.7% | 45.9% | R+13.2 | R+37.7 |
| 1964 | 62.2% | 37.7% | D+24.5 | D+27.0 |
| 1960 | 48.4% | 51.0% | R+2.6 | D+8.8 |
| 1956 | 42.1% | 53.4% | R+11.3 | R+1.3 |
| 1952 | 44.8% | 54.9% | R+10.0 | R+13.6 |
| 1948 | 47.6% | 44.1% | D+3.5 | — |
What defines Loudoun?
Loudoun has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a diverse, highly educated electorate — the core of the modern Democratic coalition.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2004
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 20.5 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate