Fairfax City County, Virginia
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 4.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 16 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 51.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 18.9% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 6.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 18.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 4.8% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 37.6% | 40.0% |
| Other | 21.6% | 22.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 20.3% | 21.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 14.3% | 15.1% |
| Black Protestant | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 5.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+33.4 |
| 2020 | Biden+38.3 |
| 2016 | Clinton+30.5 |
| 2012 | Obama+16.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+16.5 |
| 2004 | Kerry+3.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+4.2 |
| 1996 | Dole+4.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+4.6 |
Fairfax City, Virginia is a county that has a population of 25,026. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+33.4. Akashic Edge tracks 16 presidential elections here, dating back to 1964.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 65.4% | 32.0% | D+33.4 | R+4.9 |
| 2020 | 68.0% | 29.7% | D+38.3 | D+7.9 |
| 2016 | 61.2% | 30.8% | D+30.5 | D+14.3 |
| 2012 | 57.2% | 41.1% | D+16.1 | R+0.4 |
| 2008 | 57.7% | 41.2% | D+16.5 | D+13.2 |
| 2004 | 51.2% | 47.8% | D+3.3 | D+7.5 |
| 2000 | 45.6% | 49.8% | R+4.2 | D+0.5 |
| 1996 | 44.7% | 49.4% | R+4.7 | R+0.1 |
| 1992 | 40.1% | 44.7% | R+4.6 | D+18.9 |
| 1988 | 37.7% | 61.3% | R+23.6 | D+7.6 |
| 1984 | 34.2% | 65.4% | R+31.1 | R+7.9 |
| 1980 | 32.7% | 55.9% | R+23.3 | R+14.2 |
| 1976 | 44.3% | 53.4% | R+9.1 | D+28.2 |
| 1972 | 30.4% | 67.7% | R+37.3 | R+24.0 |
| 1968 | 35.4% | 48.7% | R+13.3 | R+32.4 |
| 1964 | 59.5% | 40.4% | D+19.1 | — |
What defines Fairfax City?
It has a diverse, highly educated electorate — the core of the modern Democratic coalition.
County in State Context
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Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 33.4% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 22.2 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Located In
Fairfax City sits inside these higher-level geographies.