Fredericksburg City County, Virginia
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 3.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 31 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 54.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 12.6% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 19.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 1.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 8.8% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 57.5% | 43.3% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 44.8% | 33.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 23.9% | 18.0% |
| Other | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Black Protestant | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Orthodox Christian | 1.0% | 0.7% |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+31.7 |
| 2020 | Biden+34.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton+26.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+26.9 |
| 2008 | Obama+28.3 |
| 2004 | Kerry+9.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+6.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+10.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+6.5 |
Fredericksburg City, Virginia is a county that has a population of 28,873. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+31.7. Akashic Edge tracks 31 presidential elections here, dating back to 1904.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 64.9% | 33.2% | D+31.7 | R+3.1 |
| 2020 | 66.2% | 31.4% | D+34.8 | D+8.5 |
| 2016 | 59.6% | 33.3% | D+26.3 | R+0.5 |
| 2012 | 62.4% | 35.5% | D+26.9 | R+1.5 |
| 2008 | 63.6% | 35.3% | D+28.3 | D+19.1 |
| 2004 | 54.2% | 44.9% | D+9.2 | D+2.9 |
| 2000 | 50.3% | 43.9% | D+6.4 | R+4.0 |
| 1996 | 52.2% | 41.8% | D+10.3 | D+3.8 |
| 1992 | 47.5% | 41.0% | D+6.5 | D+18.2 |
| 1988 | 43.6% | 55.3% | R+11.7 | D+6.1 |
| 1984 | 40.8% | 58.6% | R+17.8 | R+11.2 |
| 1980 | 43.8% | 50.4% | R+6.6 | R+7.0 |
| 1976 | 49.5% | 49.1% | D+0.5 | D+30.8 |
| 1972 | 34.2% | 64.5% | R+30.3 | R+28.2 |
| 1968 | 40.2% | 42.3% | R+2.1 | R+25.0 |
| 1964 | 61.4% | 38.5% | D+22.9 | D+31.1 |
| 1960 | 45.5% | 53.7% | R+8.2 | D+18.4 |
| 1956 | 33.7% | 60.3% | R+26.6 | R+4.0 |
| 1952 | 38.6% | 61.2% | R+22.6 | R+22.9 |
| 1948 | 42.3% | 41.9% | D+0.3 | — |
What defines Fredericksburg City?
It has a diverse, highly educated electorate — the core of the modern Democratic coalition.
County in State Context
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Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 31.7% margin
- Turnout of 65.6% in 2024 ranked 100 of 133 in the state — bottom quartile
Located In
Fredericksburg City sits inside these higher-level geographies.