San Juan County, Washington
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — 34 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 85.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 7.6% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 0.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.6% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 8.0% | 33.9% |
| Catholic | 6.9% | 29.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 5.9% | 25.0% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 4.7% | 20.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.0% | 16.9% |
| Non-religious | 76.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+51.1 |
| 2020 | Biden+50.5 |
| 2016 | Clinton+40.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+37.5 |
| 2008 | Obama+41.7 |
| 2004 | Kerry+32.6 |
| 2000 | Gore+16.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+15.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+20.4 |
San Juan, Washington is a county that has a population of 18,478. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+51.1. Akashic Edge tracks 34 presidential elections here, dating back to 1892.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 73.3% | 22.2% | D+51.1 | D+0.6 |
| 2020 | 73.7% | 23.2% | D+50.5 | D+10.3 |
| 2016 | 64.4% | 24.1% | D+40.3 | D+2.7 |
| 2012 | 66.6% | 29.1% | D+37.5 | R+4.2 |
| 2008 | 69.7% | 27.9% | D+41.7 | D+9.1 |
| 2004 | 65.2% | 32.6% | D+32.6 | D+15.8 |
| 2000 | 52.5% | 35.7% | D+16.9 | D+1.4 |
| 1996 | 49.8% | 34.3% | D+15.5 | R+4.9 |
| 1992 | 47.1% | 26.7% | D+20.4 | D+14.4 |
| 1988 | 51.7% | 45.8% | D+6.0 | D+13.0 |
| 1984 | 45.5% | 52.5% | R+7.0 | D+6.9 |
| 1980 | 33.1% | 47.0% | R+13.8 | D+0.4 |
| 1976 | 39.4% | 53.7% | R+14.3 | D+17.2 |
| 1972 | 32.4% | 63.9% | R+31.5 | R+6.7 |
| 1968 | 34.7% | 59.4% | R+24.8 | R+28.6 |
| 1964 | 51.8% | 47.9% | D+3.8 | D+31.9 |
| 1960 | 35.9% | 63.9% | R+28.1 | D+2.7 |
| 1956 | 34.5% | 65.3% | R+30.8 | R+1.7 |
| 1952 | 35.1% | 64.2% | R+29.1 | R+13.5 |
| 1948 | 40.4% | 55.9% | R+15.6 | — |
What defines San Juan?
San Juan has been drifting steadily toward Democrats — 14pp bluer over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 51.1% margin
- Shifted 13.6 points toward Democrats over the last 4 elections