Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(9) | 96.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(2) | 0.2% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Mainline Protestant | 17.1% | 63.4% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 7.3% | 26.9% |
| Black Protestant | 1.6% | 5.8% |
| Catholic | 1.0% | 3.8% |
| Non-religious | 73.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+62.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+60.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+57.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+34.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+10.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+8.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+7.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+26.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+18.4 |
Clay, West Virginia is a county that has a population of 7,835. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+62.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17.9% | 80.1% | R+62.2 | R+1.7 |
| 2020 | 19.0% | 79.6% | R+60.6 | R+2.7 |
| 2016 | 19.0% | 76.8% | R+57.8 | R+23.4 |
| 2012 | 30.8% | 65.3% | R+34.5 | R+24.2 |
| 2008 | 43.5% | 53.8% | R+10.2 | R+1.3 |
| 2004 | 45.1% | 54.0% | R+8.9 | R+1.4 |
| 2000 | 45.1% | 52.7% | R+7.5 | R+33.7 |
| 1996 | 58.0% | 31.8% | D+26.2 | D+7.8 |
| 1992 | 52.7% | 34.3% | D+18.4 | R+0.7 |
| 1988 | 59.4% | 40.3% | D+19.1 | D+7.2 |
| 1984 | 55.8% | 43.9% | D+11.8 | R+7.6 |
| 1980 | 58.1% | 38.6% | D+19.5 | R+15.5 |
| 1976 | 67.5% | 32.5% | D+35.0 | D+43.4 |
| 1972 | 45.8% | 54.2% | R+8.4 | R+20.3 |
| 1968 | 51.2% | 39.4% | D+11.8 | R+28.1 |
| 1964 | 70.0% | 30.0% | D+39.9 | D+31.3 |
| 1960 | 54.3% | 45.7% | D+8.6 | D+12.1 |
| 1956 | 48.2% | 51.8% | R+3.5 | R+8.8 |
| 1952 | 52.6% | 47.4% | D+5.2 | R+6.2 |
| 1948 | 55.6% | 44.2% | D+11.4 | — |
Clay has been trending Republican — 28pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.