Competitive — shifted 3.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 85.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 3.2% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 3.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 1.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 9.0% | 34.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 7.5% | 28.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.3% | 27.6% |
| Other | 2.3% | 8.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 6.0% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 73.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+4.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+1.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+10.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+9.5 |
| 2008 | Obama+3.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+4.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+3.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+12.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+15.1 |
Monongalia, West Virginia is a county that has a population of 107,163. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+4.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46.2% | 50.6% | R+4.4 | R+3.1 |
| 2020 | 48.2% | 49.4% | R+1.2 | D+8.9 |
| 2016 | 40.0% | 50.1% | R+10.2 | R+0.6 |
| 2012 | 43.8% | 53.3% | R+9.5 | R+13.3 |
| 2008 | 50.8% | 47.0% | D+3.8 | D+7.8 |
| 2004 | 47.6% | 51.5% | R+4.0 | R+0.3 |
| 2000 | 46.1% | 49.7% | R+3.6 | R+15.6 |
| 1996 | 50.0% | 38.0% | D+12.0 | R+3.1 |
| 1992 | 49.4% | 34.3% | D+15.1 | D+7.1 |
| 1988 | 53.8% | 45.9% | D+7.9 | D+14.1 |
| 1984 | 46.8% | 53.0% | R+6.1 | R+9.4 |
| 1980 | 46.3% | 43.0% | D+3.3 | R+12.2 |
| 1976 | 57.7% | 42.3% | D+15.5 | D+37.5 |
| 1972 | 39.0% | 61.0% | R+22.0 | R+38.1 |
| 1968 | 54.8% | 38.7% | D+16.1 | R+29.5 |
| 1964 | 72.8% | 27.2% | D+45.7 | D+39.3 |
| 1960 | 53.2% | 46.8% | D+6.4 | D+18.5 |
| 1956 | 44.0% | 56.0% | R+12.1 | R+12.3 |
| 1952 | 50.1% | 49.9% | D+0.2 | R+12.8 |
| 1948 | 56.0% | 43.0% | D+12.9 | — |
Monongalia has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (1D, 5R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.