Kenosha County, Wisconsin
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — shifted 3.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 71.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 15.2% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 6.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 21.1% | 60.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 7.5% | 21.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.6% | 10.4% |
| Other | 2.5% | 7.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 2.1% |
| Black Protestant | 0.3% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 64.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+6.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+3.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+0.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+12.2 |
| 2008 | Obama+18.1 |
| 2004 | Kerry+5.9 |
| 2000 | Gore+5.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+18.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+12.1 |
Kenosha, Wisconsin is a county that has a population of 168,438. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+6.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46.1% | 52.4% | R+6.2 | R+3.1 |
| 2020 | 47.5% | 50.7% | R+3.1 | R+2.8 |
| 2016 | 46.9% | 47.2% | R+0.3 | R+12.5 |
| 2012 | 55.5% | 43.2% | D+12.2 | R+5.8 |
| 2008 | 58.2% | 40.1% | D+18.1 | D+12.1 |
| 2004 | 52.5% | 46.6% | D+5.9 | D+0.4 |
| 2000 | 50.9% | 45.3% | D+5.5 | R+12.4 |
| 1996 | 52.1% | 34.1% | D+18.0 | D+5.9 |
| 1992 | 44.2% | 32.1% | D+12.1 | R+4.1 |
| 1988 | 57.7% | 41.6% | D+16.2 | D+10.6 |
| 1984 | 52.5% | 46.9% | D+5.6 | D+1.5 |
| 1980 | 47.9% | 43.8% | D+4.0 | R+6.2 |
| 1976 | 53.8% | 43.6% | D+10.2 | D+20.5 |
| 1972 | 43.6% | 53.9% | R+10.3 | R+20.6 |
| 1968 | 50.8% | 40.5% | D+10.3 | R+24.5 |
| 1964 | 67.3% | 32.6% | D+34.7 | D+27.8 |
| 1960 | 53.4% | 46.4% | D+6.9 | D+17.9 |
| 1956 | 44.1% | 55.1% | R+11.0 | R+13.2 |
| 1952 | 50.9% | 48.7% | D+2.2 | R+14.0 |
| 1948 | 56.0% | 39.8% | D+16.2 | — |
What defines Kenosha?
Kenosha has been trending Republican — 18pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2016 election was decided by just 0.3 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 18.5 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections