How did NY-11, New York vote in the 2024 presidential election?

NY-11, New York voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+25.2. The Democratic candidate received 200,188 votes and the Republican candidate received 338,591 out of 548,760 total votes cast, a 16.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is NY-11, New York's political history?

NY-11, New York has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. Democrats have won 1 and Republicans 4 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 16.0 points in 2024.

What are the demographics of NY-11, New York?

NY-11, New York has a population of 752,901 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 51.5% non-Hispanic white, 19.0% Hispanic, 7.3% Black. About 37% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $90,701.

Which places are most similar to NY-11, New York?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar congressional districts to NY-11, New York are NY-06, NJ-09, CA-45. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

New York's 11th Congressional District

New York · Latest: 2024↓ R+3.6 vs 2022

Safe Republican — flipped 3 times in 25 elections

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	51.5%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	19.0%
▶Black / African American(14)	7.3%
▶Asian(6)	19.6%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	7.8%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.7%
Multiracial / Other	1.9%

View full demographics →

Key demographics

Metric	Value
Median household income	$91K
Bachelor's or higher	36.6%
English only at home	50.7%
Other language at home	43.9%
Foreign-born	33.2%

View full demographics →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	R+25.2
2020	R+9.2
2016	R+8.9
2012	D+5.6
2008	R+1.9

View full election history →

New York's 11th Congressional District is a congressional district that has a population of 752,901. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+25.2. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

New York's 11th Congressional District Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	36.5%	61.7%	R+25.2	R+16.0
2020	44.9%	54.1%	R+9.2	R+0.2
2016	43.9%	52.9%	R+8.9	R+14.6
2012	52.8%	47.2%	D+5.6	D+7.5
2008	48.6%	50.5%	R+1.9	—

Political Identity

What defines NY-11?

NY-11 is a deep Republican urban geography with a R+25.2 margin in 2024. It shifted 16.0pp toward Republicans between 2020 and 2024. Its 753K residents are highly educated (37% hold a bachelor's degree).

District in State Context

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Precinct Deep Dive

2024 / 2020 precinct vintages

See how each split precinct fragment inside NY-11 voted, swung, and lines up demographically.

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Similarity Explorer

Similar Districts

Nearest neighbors matched on demographic profile, presidential history, House performance, and ticket-splitting behavior.

1 visible match7 premium continuations

NY-06New York

Lean Dem, Dense Suburban

Similarity score88%

Locked continuation

7 more similar districts

Continue the similarity set with additional districts matched on demographics, presidential behavior, and House profile.

NJ-09CA-45NY-03NJ-06

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Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore this district's political evolution with the Historian

“How has New York's 11th Congressional District voted in House elections since 2000?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 25.2% margin
Has flipped parties 2 times since 2008
Shifted 30.8 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

NY-11Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 51.5%Asian 19.6%Hispanic 19.0%Black 7.3%Multiracial 1.9%Native American 0.7%

Group	NY-11	State	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	51.5%	52.8%	57.4%
▶Asian(6)	19.6%	9.1%	6.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	19.0%	19.8%	19.3%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	7.8%	—	0.9%
▶Black / African American(14)	7.3%	14.4%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	1.9%	3.4%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.7%	0.6%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

NY-11 vs New York vs National753K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

753K

local

753KState 19.9MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.22%

local

0.22%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

77.5%

local

77.5%State 76.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$90,701

local

$90,701State $89,823National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.3%

local

13.3%State 14.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.6%

local

36.6%State 40.0%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

57.0%

local

57.0%State 54.4%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.0 yrs

local

41.0 yrsState 39.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.1%

local

14.1%State 15.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.8%

local

17.8%State 17.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

33.2%

local

33.2%State 22.8%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

46.4%

local

46.4%State 30.9%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

53.6%

local

53.6%State 69.1%National 77.8%

Competitiveness

How competitive is NY-11?

Likely RAvg margin: R+14.5 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+1.9

2012

D+5.6

2016

R+8.9

2020

R+9.2

2024

R+25.2

Elasticity

30.9pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+7.9

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in NY-11 split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (1/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs House	R+25.2	R+26.8	1.6pp

Max divergence: 69.8pp|Avg divergence: 19.8pp

New York Comparison Set

Other New York Districts

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