How did PA-12, Pennsylvania vote in the 2024 presidential election?

PA-12, Pennsylvania voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+6.3. The Democratic candidate received 364,067 votes and the Republican candidate received 413,814 out of 785,091 total votes cast, a 26.3-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is PA-12, Pennsylvania's political history?

PA-12, Pennsylvania has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. Democrats have won 3 and Republicans 2 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 26.3 points in 2024.

What are the demographics of PA-12, Pennsylvania?

PA-12, Pennsylvania has a population of 760,856 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 73.0% non-Hispanic white, 3.1% Hispanic, 15.0% Black. About 42% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $71,986.

Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District

Pennsylvania · Latest: 2024→ Even vs 2022

Leans Democratic — flipped 2 times in 25 elections

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	73.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	3.1%
▶Black / African American(16)	15.0%
▶Asian(6)	4.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	1.8%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.1%
Multiracial / Other	4.6%

View full demographics →

Key demographics

Metric	Value
Median household income	$72K
Bachelor's or higher	41.9%
English only at home	87.2%
Other language at home	8.1%
Foreign-born	6.4%

View full demographics →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	R+6.3
2020	D+19.9
2016	R+6.2
2012	D+0.3
2008	D+4.6

View full election history →

Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District is a congressional district that has a population of 760,856. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+6.3. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	46.4%	52.7%	R+6.3	R+26.3
2020	59.4%	39.5%	D+19.9	D+26.1
2016	45.1%	51.2%	R+6.2	R+6.5
2012	50.2%	49.8%	D+0.3	R+4.3
2008	51.5%	46.9%	D+4.6	—

Political Identity

What defines PA-12?

PA-12 has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground. It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.

District in State Context

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Precinct Deep Dive

2024 / 2020 precinct vintages

See how each split precinct fragment inside PA-12 voted, swung, and lines up demographically.

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Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore this district's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District voted in House elections since 2000?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

The 2012 election was decided by just 0.3 points — razor-thin
Swung 26.3 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

PA-12Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 73.0%Black 15.0%Multiracial 4.6%Asian 4.2%Hispanic 3.1%

Group	PA-12	State	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	73.0%	73.0%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(16)	15.0%	10.6%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	4.6%	3.6%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	4.2%	3.8%	6.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	3.1%	8.7%	19.3%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	1.8%	—	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.1%	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

PA-12 vs Pennsylvania vs National761K residents

42% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

761K

local

761KState 13.0MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.23%

local

0.23%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

78.4%

local

78.4%State 76.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$71,986

local

$71,986State $80,054National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.0%

local

14.0%State 11.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.9%

local

41.9%State 35.2%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

62.8%

local

62.8%State 69.3%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.5 yrs

local

39.5 yrsState 41.2 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.2%

local

18.2%State 15.2%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.8%

local

19.8%State 19.5%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.4%

local

6.4%State 7.7%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.5%

local

8.5%State 12.4%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

91.5%

local

91.5%State 87.6%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in PA-12

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

131.6%

vs Previous

+58.4pp

Voting-Age Pop

596,695

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is PA-12?

Tilt DAvg margin: D+2.5 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+4.6

2012

D+0.3

2016

R+6.2

2020

D+19.9

2024

R+6.3

Elasticity

26.3pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+2.5

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in PA-12 split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs House	R+6.3	D+12.8	19.2pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 22.6pp

Pennsylvania Comparison Set

Other Pennsylvania Districts

Compare the rest of the delegation at a glance, with each card anchored to the latest House margin on current district pages.

32 sibling districts

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