akashic
1876–2024
New York·New York

New York has voted Democratic in ten straight presidential elections — D+14 in 2024.

Largest U.S. media market, yet competitive only in outer suburbs

18762024·38 elections
NY
LatestD+14in 2024
TypologyNew Americancluster typology
Population20,937,1652024 ACS

New York: New American market. In 2024, voted D+14%. Republican peak: R+37 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+14MIT Election Lab
Political typology
New AmericanAkashic typology
Population
20,937,1652024 5-year
Median household income
$101,7102024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
47.1%2024 5-year
Black
15.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
25.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+35 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+37 in 1920MIT Election Lab
New York
HarrisD+14
2024 presidential margin by county for New York, NYA map of the constituent counties of New York, NY, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Passaic County, NJ · R+3Dutchess County, NY · D+5Middlesex County, NJ · D+8Essex County, NJ · D+45Bergen County, NJ · D+3Sullivan County, NY · R+17Orange County, NY · R+8Ulster County, NY · D+18Suffolk County, NY · R+10Rockland County, NY · R+12Pike County, PA · R+24Hunterdon County, NJ · R+7Morris County, NJ · R+3Ocean County, NJ · R+36Westchester County, NY · D+26Monmouth County, NJ · R+11New York County, NY · D+64Somerset County, NJ · D+14Warren County, NJ · R+21Sussex County, NJ · R+25Putnam County, NY · R+14Richmond County, NY · R+29Hudson County, NJ · D+28Union County, NJ · D+24Nassau County, NY · R+4Kings County, NY · D+43Queens County, NY · D+24Bronx County, NY · D+45
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic55.9%4,831,023
Donald TrumpRepublican42.4%3,661,635
OtherAll other candidates1.8%152,528
D+60
R+60
28 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: +13.5% in 2024.flipped D · 1988+13.5%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+15.1%
1896−15.5%
1900−2.2%
1904−3.1%
1908−8.9%
1912+23.7%
1916−2.8%
1920−37.1%
1924−21.5%
1928+4.2%
1932+21.7%
1936+31.9%
1940+9.0%
1944+8.7%
1948+1.5%
1952−7.1%
1956−19.0%
1960+8.1%
1964+35.0%
1968+5.8%
1972−16.7%
1976+7.2%
1980−7.0%
1984−8.8%
1988+0.2%
1992+15.0%
1996+30.3%
2000+29.0%
2004+19.8%
2008+27.9%
2012+30.2%
2016+27.3%
2020+26.5%
2024+13.5%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+13.5%
4,831,0233,661,6358,645,186
D
+26.5%
5,689,8903,287,6649,058,152
D
+27.3%
4,948,1522,766,3378,004,287
D
+30.2%
4,672,0922,487,3697,244,641
D
+27.9%
4,945,7292,771,5087,782,842
D
+19.8%
4,359,5212,902,5987,343,456
D
+29.0%
4,134,4812,219,5006,613,838
D
+30.3%
3,732,9741,877,8906,130,388
D
+15.0%
3,411,2802,405,9546,696,277
D
+0.2%
3,126,0413,114,9646,305,856
R
−8.8%
3,013,0343,600,1606,646,240
R
−7.0%
2,529,3282,948,3866,013,569
D
+7.2%
3,357,0462,902,3656,332,553
R
−16.7%
2,846,0183,998,8666,894,293
D
+5.8%
3,262,2282,878,8906,607,351
D
+35.0%
4,643,5492,228,7826,892,409
D
+8.1%
3,675,9863,121,6756,832,358
R
−19.0%
2,635,2633,879,0786,538,282
R
−7.1%
2,986,9873,451,4666,531,923
D
+1.5%
2,557,2542,471,8975,588,744
D
+8.7%
3,099,1392,600,9135,732,381
D
+9.0%
3,046,6012,538,9335,624,926
D
+31.9%
3,198,0551,629,3634,924,832
D
+21.7%
2,381,8611,497,0954,083,063
D
+4.2%
1,883,7051,727,8693,694,707
R
−21.5%
820,6931,384,2682,625,549
R
−37.1%
625,9661,475,3722,292,014
R
−2.8%
590,466625,3161,263,503
D
+23.7%
523,228246,7381,166,522
R
−8.9%
490,570594,1511,163,395
R
−3.1%
523,350558,2291,137,566
R
−2.2%
504,117527,3831,062,897
R
−15.5%
380,425527,614950,434
D
+15.1%
487,542355,722875,422
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Italian
11.0%
Irish
8.9%
German
5.9%
American
3.9%
Polish
3.3%
English
3.2%
French
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
60.8%
speak English only
Spanish19.5%
Other Indo-European11.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander6.3%
Other languages2.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
33.0%
Non-Christian
9.9%
Other Christian
4.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Baptist
1.6%
Methodist
1.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 47.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The New York DMA's sheer ad cost makes it an expensive target for statewide campaigns, while genuine competitiveness is concentrated in Long Island and the Hudson Valley exurbs rather than the five boroughs.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-five points in 1964 and a Republican high of thirty-seven points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved thirteen points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fourteen points.

A population of 20,937,165, a 47% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $101,710 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/501/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York voted Democratic by 13.5 points (D+14), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 8,645,186 votes cast, 4,831,023 went Democratic and 3,661,635 went Republican.
What is New York's political typology?
Akashic places New York in the "New American" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 12 times, and other 0 times.
When did New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which New York voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in New York?
New York has a population of 20,937,165 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York?
Median household income in New York is $101,710 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican. The market's typology — "New American" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.