Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan: Farm Belt market. In 2024, voted R+11%. Republican peak: R+62 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Farm BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,123,7712024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,4122024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62 in 1924MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City
TrumpR+11
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 54.7% | 346,720 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 43.8% | 277,075 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.5% | 9,486 |
D+60R+60
13 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −3.2% |
| 1896 | −1.9% |
| 1900 | −17.3% |
| 1904 | −41.2% |
| 1908 | −27.9% |
| 1912 | −2.7% |
| 1916 | −10.3% |
| 1920 | −51.1% |
| 1924 | −61.8% |
| 1928 | −46.6% |
| 1932 | +9.7% |
| 1936 | +17.3% |
| 1940 | −10.7% |
| 1944 | −12.5% |
| 1948 | −12.3% |
| 1952 | −25.3% |
| 1956 | −25.1% |
| 1960 | −12.0% |
| 1964 | +28.4% |
| 1968 | −5.8% |
| 1972 | −16.7% |
| 1976 | −4.9% |
| 1980 | −5.2% |
| 1984 | −15.8% |
| 1988 | +4.4% |
| 1992 | +15.1% |
| 1996 | +20.0% |
| 2000 | +10.9% |
| 2004 | +7.0% |
| 2008 | +17.9% |
| 2012 | +10.8% |
| 2016 | −7.2% |
| 2020 | −7.0% |
| 2024 | −11.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 277,075 | 346,720 | 633,281 | ||
| R | 283,582 | 327,226 | 620,410 | ||
| R | 239,601 | 279,306 | 550,599 | ||
| D | 304,936 | 244,471 | 557,370 | ||
| D | 347,989 | 240,632 | 598,881 | ||
| D | 311,668 | 270,503 | 587,430 | ||
| D | 285,557 | 228,350 | 526,331 | ||
| D | 264,818 | 167,393 | 488,279 | ||
| D | 248,187 | 166,306 | 542,056 | ||
| D | 249,998 | 228,989 | 481,983 | ||
| R | 204,190 | 281,047 | 487,848 | ||
| R | 218,800 | 245,074 | 506,629 | ||
| R | 216,563 | 239,339 | 462,115 | ||
| R | 174,155 | 245,528 | 428,180 | ||
| R | 169,113 | 192,577 | 407,140 | ||
| D | 245,127 | 136,639 | 382,364 | ||
| R | 170,510 | 217,055 | 388,548 | ||
| R | 134,188 | 224,574 | 359,574 | ||
| R | 117,820 | 198,203 | 318,166 | ||
| R | 99,135 | 127,838 | 232,628 | ||
| R | 112,609 | 145,128 | 259,616 | ||
| R | 115,191 | 142,800 | 259,147 | ||
| D | 120,324 | 82,549 | 218,144 | ||
| D | 113,901 | 93,285 | 212,636 | ||
| R | 46,418 | 127,976 | 175,190 | ||
| R | 22,572 | 114,951 | 149,448 | ||
| R | 30,836 | 98,934 | 133,327 | ||
| R | 40,890 | 50,681 | 94,695 | ||
| O | 21,703 | 24,013 | 84,840 | ||
| R | 26,982 | 49,619 | 81,149 | ||
| R | 21,392 | 54,536 | 80,454 | ||
| R | 33,610 | 48,316 | 85,046 | ||
| R | 41,627 | 43,313 | 86,860 | ||
| R | 31,096 | 33,426 | 72,384 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
22.6%
English
11.8%
Irish
11.1%
Polish
7.3%
American
4.6%
French
3.9%
Italian
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$62,412
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City ranks near the middle of US counties.
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City$62,412
Michigan$72,875
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.6%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1820.8%
Working age (18–64)14.6%
Seniors (65+)10.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.3%
speak English only
Spanish1.5%
Other Indo-European1.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
This mid-Michigan media market anchors Genesee, Saginaw, and Bay counties, where decades of auto-industry contraction have reshaped an electorate that swung between parties by single digits in recent statewide cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of twenty-eight points in 1964 and a Republican high of sixty-two points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was eleven points.
A population of 1,123,771, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,412 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/513/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan voted Republican by 11.0 points (R+11), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 633,281 votes cast, 277,075 went Democratic and 346,720 went Republican.
What is Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan's political typology?
Akashic places Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan in the "Farm Belt" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 23 times, and other 1 times.
When did Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan?
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan has a population of 1,123,771 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan?
Median household income in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan is $62,412 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The market's typology — "Farm Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.