Fresno-Visalia, California: New American market. In 2024, voted R+11%. Democratic peak: D+50 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 2,116,9392024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,2592024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 36.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 58.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+50 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+32 in 1924MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Fresno-Visalia
TrumpR+11
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 54.0% | 354,776 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 43.4% | 285,161 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 2.5% | 16,692 |
D+60R+60
6 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +24.4% |
| 1880 | +20.2% |
| 1884 | +12.0% |
| 1888 | +7.7% |
| 1892 | +25.4% |
| 1896 | +21.2% |
| 1900 | +4.3% |
| 1904 | −17.4% |
| 1908 | −9.1% |
| 1912 | +44.5% |
| 1916 | +8.5% |
| 1920 | −23.8% |
| 1924 | −32.3% |
| 1928 | −15.5% |
| 1932 | +39.8% |
| 1936 | +50.0% |
| 1940 | +30.7% |
| 1944 | +19.6% |
| 1948 | +15.4% |
| 1952 | −3.2% |
| 1956 | +8.3% |
| 1960 | +7.2% |
| 1964 | +30.1% |
| 1968 | +0.9% |
| 1972 | −10.3% |
| 1976 | −0.5% |
| 1980 | −13.7% |
| 1984 | −16.9% |
| 1988 | −7.2% |
| 1992 | −1.6% |
| 1996 | −6.0% |
| 2000 | −14.5% |
| 2004 | −21.4% |
| 2008 | −3.2% |
| 2012 | −3.6% |
| 2016 | +0.4% |
| 2020 | +1.9% |
| 2024 | −10.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 285,161 | 354,776 | 656,629 | ||
| D | 354,076 | 340,840 | 710,668 | ||
| D | 260,011 | 257,708 | 558,985 | ||
| R | 236,381 | 254,690 | 503,587 | ||
| R | 251,170 | 268,075 | 530,287 | ||
| R | 187,704 | 291,249 | 483,901 | ||
| R | 176,298 | 238,901 | 430,875 | ||
| R | 174,331 | 198,786 | 405,603 | ||
| R | 167,607 | 174,321 | 421,181 | ||
| R | 166,233 | 192,584 | 363,626 | ||
| R | 150,109 | 212,127 | 365,963 | ||
| R | 123,266 | 166,087 | 313,637 | ||
| R | 134,925 | 136,358 | 277,306 | ||
| R | 123,712 | 153,302 | 286,783 | ||
| D | 118,548 | 116,331 | 257,335 | ||
| D | 166,948 | 89,611 | 256,799 | ||
| D | 131,499 | 113,835 | 246,472 | ||
| D | 120,617 | 102,103 | 223,291 | ||
| R | 102,110 | 108,902 | 212,718 | ||
| D | 90,520 | 65,597 | 161,951 | ||
| D | 78,252 | 52,489 | 131,614 | ||
| D | 95,487 | 50,193 | 147,331 | ||
| D | 84,638 | 27,633 | 113,910 | ||
| D | 65,395 | 26,932 | 96,754 | ||
| R | 31,603 | 43,345 | 75,928 | ||
| R | 10,472 | 33,366 | 70,987 | ||
| R | 19,056 | 32,283 | 55,604 | ||
| D | 29,764 | 24,679 | 59,776 | ||
| O | 18,972 | 0 | 42,608 | ||
| R | 10,085 | 12,379 | 25,281 | ||
| R | 7,012 | 10,477 | 19,865 | ||
| D | 9,243 | 8,452 | 18,534 | ||
| D | 10,010 | 6,437 | 16,846 | ||
| D | 7,587 | 3,173 | 17,345 | ||
| D | 7,095 | 6,035 | 13,688 | ||
| D | 4,966 | 3,865 | 9,183 | ||
| D | 3,773 | 2,478 | 6,409 | ||
| D | 3,696 | 2,246 | 5,942 |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
5.8%
English
4.6%
Irish
4.4%
Italian
2.1%
American
1.7%
French
0.8%
Scottish
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 33.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$72,259
Fresno-Visalia ranks near the middle of US counties.
Fresno-Visalia$72,259
California$99,122
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
18.2%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1824.8%
Working age (18–64)15.7%
Seniors (65+)14.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
53.8%
speak English only
Spanish38.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander4.0%
Other Indo-European2.9%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Anchored by the San Joaquin Valley's agricultural economy, this media market blends a majority-Hispanic working-class base with conservative rural precincts, producing competitive legislative margins that frequently diverge from statewide trends.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of fifty points in 1936 and a Republican high of thirty-two points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved twelve points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was eleven points.
A population of 2,116,939, a 36% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,259 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fresno-Visalia, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/866/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Fresno-Visalia, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fresno-Visalia, California voted Republican by 10.6 points (R+11), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 656,629 votes cast, 285,161 went Democratic and 354,776 went Republican.
What is Fresno-Visalia, California's political typology?
Akashic places Fresno-Visalia, California in the "New American" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 18 times, and other 1 times.
When did Fresno-Visalia, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fresno-Visalia, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Fresno-Visalia, California?
Fresno-Visalia, California has a population of 2,116,939 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fresno-Visalia, California?
Median household income in Fresno-Visalia, California is $72,259 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Fresno-Visalia, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fresno-Visalia, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The market's typology — "New American" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.